All models are wrong. Some models are useful. But to be really useful, models must be based on accurate data, and a clear understanding of the processes being modeled...
Unfortunately, those two key fundamentals are frequently NOT met. #GIGO
Here's an introduction to the "known unknowns" that a "good" model of any pandemic (let alone COVID-19) would include. fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-i…
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83% of all livestock feed is consumed by ruminants, which can utilize resources humans cannot consume directly.
86% of the feed consumed by all livestock is NOT human edible. This amount of grain is 26% of 2018 global cereal production. 2/4
Sources
Mottet, A., et al. (2018). "Review: Domestic herbivores and food security: current contribution, trends and challenges for a sustainable development." Animal 12(s2): s188-s198.
3/4
The theme for #WorldEnvironmentDay2022 is "Only One Earth." Let's consider the essential role that #ruminants play in global food production and the unique ecological advantages they offer. First, what's a ruminant? 1/3
The vast majority of our one Earth's surface is unsuited for the production of plant source foods. But it can produce plant fiber that ruminant animals are uniquely capable of using - converting a resource humans cannot utilize into food of highest nutritive quality. 2/3
Ruminant production systems can *share* the environments where they're managed w/ existing vegetation & wildlife. Plant source food production requires some degree of ecosystem domination. Grassland ecosystems endangered by conversion to crop production. 3/3
Why it's important to know what *they* mean by the phrase "nutrient dense."
The 2020-2025 Dietary Guidelines for Americans' third suggestion to "make every bite count" -
You might think you know what they mean by "nutrient dense," but let's check. So #dairy & #meat only qualify if they're low-fat because naturally-occurring animal fats are not nutrients, per DGA. Lettuce, a vegetable, does, per DGA. Does this fit your definition?
It gets worse!
"Plain Shredded Wheat," "Vegetable Oil," & "Sparkling Water" are nutrient dense but not butter, per DGA!!
"These folks can't be serious" you might think. Wrong. When dealing with them, insist on understanding their terms & phrases. Metrics (& language) matter.
Might be time to question your proposed solutions... ? Why getting the thinking of the High-Income Country's nutrition establishment sorted out on metabolic health and non-communicable diseases matters to the 85% of humanity living in Low- & Middle-Income countries.
Previous graphic from globalnutritionreport.org/reports/2021-g…
Read it to understand their mindset & world view.
How can the knowledge of human nutrition and metabolic health be incorporated into the global efforts? Imagine the possible impacts...
Following graphics from document cited previously.
Various authorities cite a lack of animal source foods as causal in these conditions.
2/4 And yet, even with this OVERESTIMATE, accounting emissions for the amount of foods needed to provide essential nutrients dramatically shifts the narrative. Now divide the beef or milk by 3... @TyRBeal
3a & 3b/4 And the land footprint and water use shifts when the essential utilizable nutrients being supplied are considered. Metrics Matter!