In about an hour, returns for the Wisconsin Supreme Court race are coming in.
The basic state of the race: turnout is up everywhere. Slightly more up in rurals than cities vs 2019. But there will likely be a slight swing left in many counties due to Dem primary.
The basic state of the race: turnout is up everywhere. Slightly more up in rurals than cities vs 2019. But there will likely be a slight swing left in many counties due to Dem primary.
The big question that will decide the race is, which is bigger, the rural turnout surge or the leftward shift from Dem primary turnout?
If I had to make a forecast: I'd say 52% chance of Karofsky winning.
I give her an edge, but a tiny one. It's basically a coin flip. So you shouldn't be shocked if I'm wrong and Kelly pulls it off.
I give her an edge, but a tiny one. It's basically a coin flip. So you shouldn't be shocked if I'm wrong and Kelly pulls it off.
Also, a reminder: Republicans did everything in their power to rig this race. They forced voters to leave their homes and risk #COVID19 exposure, knowing Democrats are more scared of the virus than Republicans.
Whatever the result, it has to be seen in that context.
Whatever the result, it has to be seen in that context.
