Ok things are getting weird in Libya. Israeli drones, hostage negotiations and this. This is how the US evacs or delivers really big stuff. #LastHeloOutOfSaigon itamilradar.com/2020/04/16/dir…
I shouldn't really call the Emiratis and French "hostages" but there was a quiet little jamming window yesterday around Watiya Air base. So I assume they are in Tunis now. But is the C-17 responding to a request from the OPE team? OPE: Operational Preparation of the Environment?
Israel is keen to show off and test their radar jamming and spoofing skills used in raids into Syria and Iraq. The drones will be operated from outside the country and are linked to upcoming UAE attacks with JDAMs. Will the Turkish systems hold? jpost.com/Magazine/Featu…
What was supposed to be the big offensive for Haftar has turned into a disaster. Perhaps the UAE's bolder presence can save him The mix of outside nations, proxies and mercenaries...and the absence of media coverage and disinformation have blurred the war warontherocks.com/2020/03/drones…
What are the odds of tracking....AND getting a clear shot of an air to air refueling of a C-17 on it's way to Libya? The air enthusiasts are all a twitter.
Haftar's biggest weakness is the supply chain that stretches all the way to Egypt and requires easy to spot air or land transport. Turkey is inside the old artillery leader OODA loop and dramatically shifting dynamics. Finally the UAE is executing a bombing plan from last July.
My bet is despite his proximity to Tripoli, Haftar will again, not be able to coordinate ground forces to maximize air gains. Turkey has solved that problem with the GNA in less than two months. Haftar's supplies and men will burn along the road as they are picked off by drones.
