How are they doing? Coming in a few. A short one I promise. 1/
Brought to you by the amazing @rypan. 3/
I think it can be a big help. 9/
covidexitstrategy.org
-How many positive cases are there?
-How many asymptomatic?
-What accounts for severity of symptoms?
-Who is most infectious?
-Which drugs work when?
-How does immunity work? 10/
I’m excited to talk to @NateSilver538 on #inthebubble this week about it. 11/
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/in-…
Here @ScottGottliebMD points to a study on 1 of the major curiosity points— asymptomatic spreaders. 12/
One asymptomatic spreader can spread CV to 9537 patients in 40 days. (Using 10 generations & r0 of 2.5).
If 40% of those people have no symptoms, the impetus for them to continue to stay home is lower. 13/
To restate me earlier point, we don’t know. We just don’t. But it pays to prepare for the worst & that’s why all those measures on covidexitstrategy.com are so important. 15/
nytimes.com/2020/04/18/wor…
I’m guilty of some of those things from time to time. 21/
State & local leaders, health care workers & scientists work against long odds & often w/ no playbook. We will succeed because of their unwavering perseverance./end