Thread by @MarkkuPeltonen

Use of care and mortality due to corona in Finland, Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Iceland and Estonia; data from yesterday 20.4.

Read the whole thread. (English)

Fig 1. Number of persons in intensive care per day. Measures the burden on intensive care capacity. 1/x

Fig 2. Number of persons in hospital care per day. Measures the burden on hospital capacity. 2/x

Fig 3. Mortality per million population. (Finland reported 17.4 that number of deaths at care homes are missing; read below). 3/x

Fig 4. Mortality per million population on log-scale, by days since 2/million deaths in the country. (Finland reported 17.4 that number of deaths at care homes are missing; read below). 4/x

Fig 5. Absolute number of deaths by days since 10th death in the country. (Finland reported 17.4 that number of deaths at care homes are missing; read below). 5/x

Geographical differences within Finland; might be of interest to other countries to understand the spread&trend between the capital area (Helsinki) vs rest.

Fig 6. Nr of persons in intensive care/day by the five “specialised medical care regions”: 6/x

Fig 7. Within Finland: Number of persons in hospital care per day by the five “specialised medical care regions”: 7/x

The “new unique ICU patients/day” is still stable in Sweden (starting to decline?), see the figure “Nya unika coronapatienter på IVA i Sverige” (would be better measure of change than the “nr treated/day” I have in fig 1): 8/x
svt.se/datajournalist…

I get lot of questions about the Swedish capacity; I only have media information. @JacobGudiol posted this yesterday with nr of patients and estimates of capacity (I can’t find source; but he provides lots of relevant info on Sweden) 9/x

https://twitter.com/JacobGudiol/status/1251758066976141312

Yesterday I said that also Denmark reported “new unique ICU patients/day”; this seems to be either “lost in translation” or they changed the reporting; that information is not available on their reporting site now: 10/x
sst.dk/da/corona/tal-…

Mortality data, Finland reported 17.4 that number of deaths at care homes are missing. I will be correcting the figures once the official reporting is corrected; but for now Fin is underreported. How many are missing is not clear at the moment. 11/x

In addition to the possible differences in definitions/reporting, there could be many other explanations for the country differences: how the disease started to spread in populations (undetected cases); case-mix; distributions of demographics/comorbidities etc. 12/x

While comparisons about the levels between countries is difficult, I do think these data give a rough idea about the *within country* changes, and differences in *when* changes happen in different countries. 13/13

Ps. Singapore concern; numbers in hospital increased a lot; levels very high (intensive care still low).

Important for us: with those kind of volumes, it is not enough with just test/isolate (not saying they had just that). This has to be understood.

experience.arcgis.com/experience/7e3…