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How does failure to get an agreement by the end of this year compare with the 'no-deal' of Art.50?

tl;dr Neither is pretty, for anyone

PDF: bit.ly/UshGraphic23
Also, thanks to @BEERG for suggesting this one: happy to take requests for future graphics
with a minor tweek, h/t @DPhinnemore
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Simon Usherwood
@Usherwood
So, lots of new Brexit texts flying around this week.

What to make it all?

1/
Today we had the UK's 'approach' on implementing the Northern Irish Protocol: gov.uk/government/new…

Yesterday came the drafts for EU-UK agreements under the Future Relationship: gov.uk/government/pub…

Also, the new tariff regime: gov.uk/government/new…

2/
(note the draft texts didn't get a press release, so HMG not going out of their way to get people to notice them, or even find them)

3/
Read 15 tweets
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Simon Usherwood
@Usherwood
Let's go around this again, since we're getting a bit carried away

1/
Draft is a copy of CETA, and its main function is the amendment element at the end: enlargement might require adjustments to FTA

2/
My OP was about the requirement to tell the UK about future accessions to the UK and 'take account' of UK concerns

3/
Read 7 tweets
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Simon Usherwood
@Usherwood
The timeline for reaching an agreement on either an extension or a Future Relationship continues to tighten

PDF: bit.ly/UshGraphic25
Even with the UK's publication of a text, there hasn't been any substantive discussion of extension, let alone a common text

The mismatch of the two timelines doesn't really help on this either, as can't use one to nudge the other
Which leaves open a possibility of discovering an extension is needed, but only after end June, when it's very much more difficult to do

And thus a possibility of an accidental 'non-agreement' outcome
Read 4 tweets

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