You may have seen the "shocking" survey that found 66% of NY's #COVID19 hospitalizations were people who'd been staying home. News stories are concluding we can easily get infected from packages, grocery stores, or walking outdoors.
I have questions. 1/ cnbc.com/2020/05/15/peo…
I have questions. 1/ cnbc.com/2020/05/15/peo…
Does the 66% from a "home" setting include household contacts? Rather than telling us that people are picking up the virus at grocery stores, this would be consistent with what we know about transmission: it often occurs in households. 2/ 
What are the denominators? If the vast majority of the population is in the "home" group, the denominator for that group is huge, meaning their overall risk is relatively low. 3/
When politicians and media like @CNBC spin data like this, two things can happen: 1) Increased anxiety about low-risk activities, like going for a walk, at a time when we should be supporting those activities. 2) Fatalism about social distancing, which we know works. /end
Addendum: not only does the "home" group likely include household contacts (e.g., to essential workers), it probably also includes essential workers themselves.
