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By popular demand, here is a thread of links to informative analyses about what is going on in the India-China border region.

Much of what follows should be seen as useful background or context, to be read with the caveats I outlined previously:

This interview with Shyam Saran, former Foreign Secretary and Chairman of the National Security Advisory Board. timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/chinese-… ImageImage
This thread by @nitingokhale on border road building:
But the activity described in the previous two tweets are not how things are seen by Beijing. Here is one Chinese interpretation: globaltimes.cn/content/118947… Image
This is a very detailed piece by scholar and former ambassador P. Stobdan, who has the advantage of being from Ladakh (and living in Leh for much of the year). indianexpress.com/article/opinio…
Here, @fravel provides @ananthkrishnan with a succinct analysis: thehindu.com/news/national/… Image
Shyam Saran on what’s going on: hindustantimes.com/analysis/as-th… Image
.@pranabsamanta sets the current India-China stand-off in a larger context. m.economictimes.com/news/politics-… ImageImage
.@horror06: "We’re in familiar territory – Chinese mission creep, change ground positions, fake outrage about Indian “intrusion”, threaten us with the Stone Age, quieten down with diplomatic negotiations, demand “face” be saved, call for a summit..."

economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/defence/w…
Ashley Tellis carnegieendowment.org/2020/06/04/hus… ImageImage
Reports now of some disengagement by Chinese and Indian forces at 3 of 4 points (the fourth being Pangong Lake). @nitingokhale has details from Indian sources: youtube.com/watch?v=o47up6…
CORRECTION: Reports of agreement/roadmap to disengage. Does not mean that disengagement has taken place.
Good read from @ananthkrishnan thehindu.com/opinion/lead/a…
.@MohanCRaja: "It’s a pity that India’s debate on the Ladakh crisis is fixated in finding China’s motives, including the argument that India’s constitutional changes were the trigger." indianexpress.com/article/opinio…
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Dhruva Jaishankar
@d_jaishankar
A little off-brand thread this Sunday: 10 Lessons from reading all 56 Sherlock Holmes short stories.
Background: A lot of people have used their lockdowns to catch up on fiction, but I've honestly not had time between work and childcare. So every night as I put the kids to sleep, I read one Sherlock Holmes short story by Arthur Conan Doyle. In 56 days, I read all 56 of them.
Lesson 1 (Scandal in Bohemia): "It is a capital mistake to theorise before one has his data. Insensibly one begins to twist facts to suit theories, instead of theories to suit facts."
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Dhruva Jaishankar
@d_jaishankar
THREAD: Over the coming days and weeks, we are likely to see a lot of idle speculation about what is going on in the China-India border region.

Here are 5 QUESTIONS that people should be asking themselves as they consume and analyze reports. 1/18
Q1. What is the source of information?

Because large sections of border region are closed to the press and public, only 3 real sources: One is the Indian military and gov't (who brief the Indian media). Second is the PLA and Chinese officials, disseminated via PRC media. 2/18
The third is independent geospatial imagery, but this is limited by resolution & (importantly) requires interpretation by those with the necessary GEOINT training to accurately identify developments on the ground. 3/18
Read 19 tweets
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Dhruva Jaishankar
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There's been a lot going on in the world apart from the #Covid_19 pandemic, and some of it - while important and even related - may not be getting sufficient attention. #WhileYouWereQuarantined
A collision between Japanese and Chinese vessels in the East China Sea. #WhileYouWereQuarantined
janes.com/article/95216/…
The U.S. Federal Reserve created "a temporary facility to provide foreign central banks with access to dollars in exchange (temporarily) for their holdings of U.S. Treasuries." #WhileYouWereQuarantined csis.org/analysis/dolla…
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