*** Big shorts covered their position..........Bullish
(18 % decrease in COI from last one week)
*** Price in consolidation near lower edge of BB with little increase in delivery% .
*** My understanding says.... No retailers have guts to short ITM PE at the start of the expiry. Therefore, my view is Bullish....
*** Addition in far OTM CE.... Bullish.
*** Average Day to day increase in PCR.... More PE added ... Bullish.
3 >5 >8 >13 Days.
Daily volatility at its lowest level from last three months. My understanding says now time to go up.
***Shared for learning and analysis purpose.
May not match with basic theoretical leanings.
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# ATM CE position built up... Strong resistance
# ATM PE position built up... Strong support.
# Far OTM position built up on call side...Strong bullish
# Far OTM CE position built up... Strong bearish....
I couldn't find it so simple.
Mostly, what I learned is this presumption is a very easy way to misguide the masses by using the option chain.
On many occasions I have taken absolutely opposite stand and got good hit ratio.
Apart from the position built up, if one pays attention to futures position, traded value in cash and delivery% along with the traded value at the each strike price of respective option, this may give much stronger insight of bias, since, bigger money at stake.
Stock come into radar on 17 Apr 20. with its increase in traded value, traded volume and above average delivery % in last one week. Also, noticed the ratio of number of trade and total traded quantity is high..... Seems big players are interested in this.
With this set basic set up further peep into the charts and option chain gave some important observations:
1. Stock is in consolidation since last expiry. 2. When CMP was around 1300. Unusual activity seen on far OTM PE. 3. On 1160 PE highest unwinding is observed.... GADBAD
1. Chart Pattern: Consolidation after four continued weekly bearish candles. 2. Price facing resistance at 20 DEMA. 3. COI rising. 4. Increasing delivery on weekly basis. 5. Addition in far OTM PE in Apr & May series. 6. Addition in ITM, ATM & all OTM CE. 7. PCR 0.58
We have very limited stocks in FNO in this sector.
Its IT sector.... Lets do some study.
*** Note.
Don't speculate. Don't mention name here. Allow everyone to put efforts. If you find the stock, study the effects. Focus on learning.
Commendable efforts by many..... small addition to input.
Nothing big happens without prior preparation......
Therefore, don't forget to check the data in recent past in Futures, option chain and delivery pattern.