The things we've used as money has evolved over time.
Technology has always been the agent of change, directly or indirectly, altering the incentives of hodling one form over another.
'Monetary status is a spontaneously emergent product of human action.. it is not something that is conferred through academic debate, rational planning, or government mandate.'
-@saifedean
"Primitive money existed long before large scale trade networks. Money had an even earlier and more important use. Money greatly improved the workings of even small barter networks by greatly reducing the need for credit."
- Nick Szabo (2002)
"An economy of favours and obligations doesn’t work when large numbers of strangers try to cooperate.. Barter is only effective when exchanging a limited range of products. It cannot form the basis for a complex economy."
-Yuval Noah Harari, Sapiens (2014)
With the advent of metallurgy, metals soon proved superior.
Metals could be made into uniform weights, were more durable and allowed for larger values to be transported more easily. Different metals had different value based on their scarcity and difficulty to extract.
"For anything to function as a good store of value.. it has to appreciate when people demand it as a store of value, but its producers have to be constrained from inflating the supply significantly enough to bring down the price."
-Saifedean Ammous, The Bitcoin Standard (2018)
"The clear winner throughout human history has been gold..due to two unique physical characteristics.. it is virtually impossible to destroy and..impossible to synthesize from other materials."
-Saifedean Ammous, The Bitcoin Standard (2018)
As trade and trade routes expanded, larger transactions took place. This meant transporting sizable quantities of gold in the face of pirates, bandits & shipwreck.
Paper notes (redeemable for gold by the bearer) offered a subtle solution where trusted storage existed.
Gold storage came with a fee. But, if you allowed a vault/bank to lend out your gold, they would pay YOU for the privilege.
If deposits > redemptions, banks may be tempted to issue multiple notes (as 'loans') against the same piece of collateral in order to grow profits.
Governments would eventually end the private issuance of currency by establishing their own national ‘central bank’. Such institutions were granted exclusive rights to issue banknotes, often backed by a set ratio of gold, and thus establishing a unified national currency.
The gold peg was a hindrance to govt's who wished to run deficits in order to fund their vision (e.g. projects/wars too unpopular to fund via ⬆️taxes).
Central banks, although supposedly independent, would eventually all lose their gold backing as we moved into the 'FIAT' era.
A digital representation of 💵🪙, digital fiat was enabled by the proliferation of digital comms. networks, growth of consumer devices & standardisation of payments protocols.
Digital fiat is replacing physical fiat at a rapid pace thanks to ⬇️costs, ⬆️speeds & ⬆️surveillance
The main thing preventing non-gov’t issued digital currencies from taking hold was the coordination of trust required among strangers.
“..no mechanism exists to make payments over a communications channel without a trusted party” -Satoshi Nakamoto
“..we propose a solution to the double-spending problem using a peer-to-peer distributed timestamp server to generate computational proof of the chronological order of transactions.” -Satoshi Nakamoto (Oct 31, 2008)
“the invention of Bitcoin represents the discovery of absolute scarcity, or absolute irreproducibility, which occurred due to a particular sequence of idiosyncratic events that cannot be reproduced.” -@Breedlove22
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A few months ago I recapped the thesis laid out by @JeffBooth in ‘The Price of Tomorrow’ explaining the effects of deflationary technology.
This thread covers the other half of the equation- inflationary money.
🖨️💵🤡
1/ “It wasn’t housing itself that caused the 2008 bubble. If it hadn’t been housing, it would have been somewhere else that easy credit was flowing to. The continuing rise of debt that cannot be paid back was at the heart of the housing crises & will be at the heart of the next.“
2/ “A bubble pops when people wake up and realize that the debt can never be paid off. At that point, credit is removed—and because easy credit was the main thing causing the run-up, assets collapse.”
The Bitcoin Standard by @saifedean is arguably the most comprehensive book for explaining the value proposition and infallibility of Bitcoin in a fiat system.
This thread explores the relationship between money & time preference- the key to understanding incentives in our world.
The topics covered that are referenced in the book-
Sound money: “the money completely under the control of the person who earned it legitimately on the free market..
..makes service valuable to others the only avenue open for prosperity to anyone.."
Asset classes are defined by the preferences of a generation. So how will the world's first digitally-native cohort behave?
Millennials get a lot of the attention, but the future of Bitcoin will one day be driven by Generation Z to see the asset through to its maturity.
🧵👇
Firstly, who is Gen Z? What are the generational boundaries?
There’s still much debate about the exact cut-off for millennials, but let’s take the @pewresearch definition of people born between 1997-2012. Making this cohort currently between 8 and 23 years of age.
Secondly, how significant is Gen Z in terms of size?
Soaking up the world’s capital, protecting purchasing power.
Bitcoin is a monetary hurricane.
Increasing in intensity offshore, striking jurisdictions suffering from droughts of political trust.
Shocking stale & over-burdensome institutions, dislodging underutilized capital.
Bitcoin Knowledge Stack:
6. Mechanics of Bitcoin⚙️ 5. Evolution of money as a technology🐚 4. How demographics, institutions & technology interact⚗️ 3. Lenses for viewing problems + opportunities🔬 2. Advancements in energy conversion drives change🚀 1. How humans cooperate 🤝
Some selected tweets from @naval's most recent appearance on The Tim Ferriss Show that specifically reference how he is currently thinking about Bitcoin + crypto.
1/ "I think cryptocurrencies are probably one of the greatest inventions in human history and the reason why they’re interesting is because if you look to the technology industry, technology plays in unregulated spaces."
2/ "It is a digital frontier that is being created, now that the physical frontiers are all closed and the new world has been colonized and the wild west has been tamed."