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In this piece @politico on how GOP officials don’t trust polls, the author wrongly states their mistaken belief that the polls got it wrong as an objective fact.

politico.com/news/2020/06/1…
Polls four years ago predicted Clinton would win the popular vote by 1 to 6 points, with an RCP average of 3.2 points — and she won the popular vote by 2.1 points, not far off from that.

realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/pr…
The *predictions* based on that polling proved to be off, thanks to an unlikely distribution of Trump votes across the electoral college, but that doesn’t mean the underlying polling was off.

It wasn’t. And even though Republicans *think* it was, Politico should know better.
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Kevin M. Kruse
@KevinMKruse
My God, you are *horrible* at this.

As I noted in the thread you didn't even read, the Philadelphia Plan was launched in November 1967 -- a full year before Nixon was even *elected* and as a result of LBJ's policies.

Here's a news article on it. (Philadelphia Inquirer, 4/18/68) Image
Wait! It gets better.

Here’s the book @DineshDSouza says supports his claim that Nixon initiated the Philadelphia Plan, not Johnson.

Page 35:

“... the Philadelphia Plan inherited from the Johnson Administration ...”

books.google.com/books?id=IJio5…“Philadelphia%20plan”&f=false Image
I should stress, he isn’t just wrong on the date here.

He also misstated the reason Nixon continued the Phil Plan — it wasn’t a sign of his sincere support of civil rights, it was political calculus.

Dov Grohsgal and I wrote about it in @TheAtlantic:

theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/… Image
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Kevin M. Kruse
@KevinMKruse
Hi there! You must be new here.
Her "history" is a claim that the parties never switched, backed up by absolutely no evidence.

Let's see if I can find something that might offer a slight rebuttal oh hey what's this

And this

Read 8 tweets
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Kevin M. Kruse
@KevinMKruse
This characterization of the Southern strategy in the @nytimes is close, but not quite right.

Calls for "law and order" were often *part* of the Southern strategy -- but they weren't exactly one and the same.

nytimes.com/2020/06/09/us/…
During the Nixon era, certainly, the two blended together.

As Dov Grohsgal and I noted in @TheAtlantic, Nixon campaign strategist Kevin Phillips argued in the 1968 election that the key to realignment was "the law and order/Negro socioeconomic syndrome."

theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
But the Republicans' Southern strategy predated that moment, and the law and order issue, too.

As I noted recently, the GOP made a move for conservative southern whites in the wake of the 1948 Dixiecrat rebellion, largely with a "states rights" framing.

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