software is such a cheat code in the game of business. My first company was a restaurant. One of the worst businesses you can start (everyone told me this, but being young, I told them to kick rocks)
we tried building the "Chipotle for Sushi"
Here's the rule of thumb $s :
- ˜10-15% profit margins (if you survive)
- ˜$500k-$1.5M up front investment
- 6 months+ per new store
- need tons of employees, <15% employee retention
- spend 85% of time on the bottom 10% of stores
Plus the lifestyle.
- business runs 7 days a week, no holidays
- I still remember going to the fish market at 430am to get fresh ingredients, & washing dishes until midnight
- Hated the work (crappy feeling "this sucks, who can I pay $12/hr to do this for me?")
Software is like the polar opposite
- can get 80% margins
- no capex. can get going on <$250k investment
- can expand to new geographies instantaneously, with ˜$0 incremental cost
- can build a $1B+ dollar company with < 15 employees
- test/experiment quickly/cheaply w/ data
Lifestyle is so much easier. work from home in your boxers. type on your laptop. bitch about the lack of low fat oat milk in the company fridge.
I wrote a memo to my company called "Software is Magic" based on my observations switching from brick and mortar industries (Food, Energy) to Software (tech). will share just DM me if you wanna read it
OK I got enough DMs (nice fishing on my part), I'll just post it here so I don't have to reply to everyone
✨WHY SOFTWARE IS MAGIC ✨
✨#1 Build Once, Sell Infinitely ✨
With the restaurant, every customer required work (make their sushi roll). With software, we build the product once, and it can serve millions of customers without additional human labor. This makes the margins magical.
✨#2 Expand Globally, Overnight, at ˜zero marginal cost✨
With the restaurant, even if we had a winning concept, it will take years and millions of dollars to expand to every major city. Instagram launched and had users in Japan the next morning. Magic.
✨#3 Every improvement helps every customer ✨
Every business tries to improve it's product over time. But in software, if you improve the product (fix a bug, add a feature). Not only does it help new customers, but it helps *every* customer. No factory recall required. Magic.
✨#4 Experimentation leads to improvements ✨
In the restuarant industry. Testing was excruciating. It took lots of time, money, and guesswork to figure out if customers want A or B?
Software experimentation (eg. A/B Tests) is trivial. Test, measure, re-test. Truth gets told
Add it all up:
Your product gets made once and can be sold infinitely. Like printing one dollar and spending 10 times. And it expands globally without ever leaving your bedroom.
To improve this magical product. You can easily tweak it, and give half the people version A, and half version B. The data will tell you which version performs better.
Oh and if you find a better version, just push a button and all customers (past & present) magically upgrade.
These magical advantages make the "business of bits" > "business of bricks".
Silicon valley is basically hogwarts. you can be neville longbottom and still get rich ✨
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companies I coulda woulda shoulda invested in but didn't .. (aka the "greatest misses")
@calm - I am friends w/ @tewy & @acton and think they are ballers. probably could've invested at seed round (~$5M valuation). Now worth $1B+ easily. 200x+ return
didn't invest because I didn't consider myself an investor at the time
Seemed like a decent idea but I didn't fully understand it (still don't)....But I thought he was really clever (I remember a story about a 🍆 detection thing he built)
you get:
- 4 years of experience, in 1 year
- a piece of my carry (I take 0% management fees, so there's no salary)
- walk away with a portfolio of 25+ companies in your portfolio
you give:
- your nights/weekends hustling to invest in startups
the speech "you and your research" by Richard hamming is A+. I think it's a must-read for any person who wants to make the most of their time & talents.
My notes:
re: Luck - "there is indeed an element of luck..The particular thing you do is luck, but that you do something is not"
I was telling @_johnnydallas_ yesterday: "if you're a founder, every year you have a high chance of failure, but over a decade, you're almost certain to win."
"one of the characteristics successful scientists have is courage. Once you get your courage up & believe that you can do important problems - then you can. If you think you can't, almost surely you're not going to."
I did a podcast w @moizali - founder of @native_cos. His story is bananas. Created & Sold a new deodorant brand $100M to P&G in 2.5 years and only raised ~$500k... my top 10 gems from the episode THREAD 👇
1/ “It was like taking an Advil every morning when all you needed was a glass of water”
Core insight = trend to natural/organic products, but popular deodorants used a ton of chemicals (aluminum etc).”
2/ they did A/B testing like a software co, except on physical products
Version A went to 1000 customers
Version B went to 1000 customers
Which version gets higher reviews and higher repeat purchase rate?
We're Divvy Homes, and we're helping people buy homes. We're buying 1 home a day right now, which frankly, is kind of nuts.
You see - lots of people want to buy a house, but can't afford the full down payment. We came up with a clever way to solve this problem.
We let people pick their dream home, live in it, and count their rent towards ownership every month. Kind of cool right? This has been around forever (a "sale leaseback") but we're making it accessible. (the way uber/lyft did for carpooling & airbnb did for couchsurfing)