Focus on REAL supply. so just look for dilution that can actually hit the open market. So:
-ATMs (my absolute fav)
-In the money or near the money warrants
-Convertible notes
-Convertible preferred
-Huge insider positions from prior PIPEs or pub offerings etc
#BearTipOfTheDay
-ATMs (my absolute fav)
-In the money or near the money warrants
-Convertible notes
-Convertible preferred
-Huge insider positions from prior PIPEs or pub offerings etc
#BearTipOfTheDay
And always remember that dilution should always be looked at relative to VOLUME. I see too many folks get excited over 1M shares worth of dilution (supply) while ignoring the 100M volume (demand). Dilution means nothing if there's more than enough volume to soak it all up.
But when u combine massive dilution with pussy volume, the stock has a 99.9% chance of being a all day fader. The only challenge now becomes finding borrows and most importantly, getting filled. B/c trust me, there'll be so much supply that u'll be lucky to fill half ur max size
