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Without words.
One man has words for this:
"Slow the testing down, please!"
Spoken at what may well turn out to be a super-spreader event.
Since some have asked: here is a similar graph with the numbers per 100,000 people, from WaPo. washingtonpost.com/world/2020/06/…
Others asked for an effect of the uptick on the number of deaths. That could only show up after a ~3-week lag. We will see.
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Stefan Rahmstorf
@rahmstorf
We've all seen these #FlattenTheCurve graphs. I liked it too, at first. But at second thought it has two problems.
1. Wrong proportions, which seriously downplay the #CoronaCrisis.
2. A "solution" that we can't possibly want.
About 1: the graphs look as if an unmitigated epidemic would overstretch the health system capacity by a factor of 2 or 3. That's not what epidemiological modelling shows, as you can check yourself with this interactive model: gabgoh.github.io/COVID/index.ht…
The assumptions here are realistic for Germany with its 82 million inhabitants (following the German epidemiological society), but would be optimistic for most countries (we have over 30 critical care beds per 100,000 people). But exact numbers are not the point.
Read 11 tweets
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Stefan Rahmstorf
@rahmstorf
Das Heartland Institute hat in einer Plakatkampagne Menschen, die der Klimawissenschaft glauben, mit einem Terroristen verglichen. Image
Leider haben auch seriöse Medien lange Zeit die Propaganda der Klimawandelleugner nicht als solche durchschaut, sondern darüber berichtet, als wäre es ein ernsthafter "Wissenschaftsdisput". Falsche Ausgewogenheit. pik-potsdam.de/~stefan/Public… Image
Und noch ein Beitrag von mir: Was man aus den langjährigen Erfahrungen mit Klimapropaganda lernen kann. scilogs.spektrum.de/klimalounge/fa…
Read 6 tweets
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Stefan Rahmstorf
@rahmstorf
Journalisten von @correctiv haben undercover die Lobbyaktivitäten der Klimaleugnerorganisationen EIKE und Heartland Institute untersucht. Sehenswert! Ein thread zu den Hintergründen. zdf.de/politik/fronta…
Hier ein Interview mit den beiden Journalisten von Correctiv. taz.de/Reporter-ueber…
Ernsthafte Zweifel am menschengemachten Klimawandel gibt es in der Wissenschaft schon lange nicht mehr; die Belege sind erdrückend. Zahlreiche Wissenschaftsorganisationen aus aller Welt haben sich klar dazu geäußert. scienceblogs.com/significantfig… Diverse Studien zeigen den Konsens.
Read 12 tweets

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