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20 new cases of #COVID19 announced in B.C. today.

That's the highest number since June 3, and the first time since May we've had four straight days of double-digit cases.

Active cases and hospitalizations slightly up, too.

Today's chart.
The five-day rolling average of new cases in B.C. is still within the 6-15 range that we've seen for the last six weeks.

But there's a small but clear trending up since the end of May.
Remember how months ago we all read about The Hammer And The Dance?

How after coming down hard on #COVID19 to flatten the curve, we'd have to regularly make small adjustments over a prolonged period?

Well, it's dancing time.
There's lots of evidence — from daily data, to provincial modelling, to the tone of language at press conferences — that B.C. is at the limit for increasing contacts if community transmission stays low enough to keep "the new normal" we've had since mid-May.

Stay vigilant.
(in case you're wondering, the top story at the press conference is why hockey players won't be playing in an empty arena next to my house)
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Keep Current with Justin McElroy

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