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India's #COVID19 trajectory

1 to 1 lakh cases: 139 days
1 lakh to 2 lakh cases: 16 days
2 lakh to 3 lakh cases: 11 days
3 lakh to 4 lakh cases: 9 days
4 lakh to 5 lakh cases: 7 days

Graph plotted with our lockdown and unlock dates & infection data
If someone is saying that our doubling rate is reduced, please don't fall for such arguments, which is nothing but trying to avoid the elephant in the room.

Look at this graph to know how our average weekly infection rates are changing..

The steepness of the curve is worrying!
Also let that sink in as we increase the number of tests, the tests per confirmed cases (TPCC) is also falling, not even getting constant...it is falling as days pass!

Means as we test more and we find MORE CASES & we yet to cover the infected zones fully.

BE SAFE FRIENDS!
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James Wilson
@jamewils
In the study published in medRxiv, a team at the Lindsley F. Kimball Research Institute of the New York Blood Center and Rockefeller University analyzed 370 plasma samples donated from people who recovered from COVID-19 and found some surprising results.
Around 88% of the people generated varying levels of antibodies to the virus.

But only about 10% of them had high levels that were able to neutralize the lab-based version of the COVID-19 virus.

17% had almost no antibody response to their infection.
What that means is so-called “natural immunity” to SARS-CoV-2 may be more complicated than the idea that everyone infected with COVID-19 is robustly protected from getting the disease again, says Dr. Larry Luchsinger.
Read 10 tweets
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James Wilson
@jamewils
Delhi has not revealed if it is testing those who turned up negative using RAPID ANTIGEN TESTING as required by ICMR.

This will create a false sense of security in those who tested negative as they could be false negatives. 

nationalheraldindia.com/india/delhi-ic…
ICMR advisory asserts at least twice that suspected individuals who test -VE for COVID-19 by rapid antigen test should be definitely tested sequentially by RT-PCR to rule out infection, whereas a +VE test should be considered as a true +VE doesn't need reconfirmation by RT-PCR
Delhi released the data of how many antigen tests were done and out of that how many people got positive from those tests for June 18 & 19.

But thereafter, they have not released any separate data about Antigen tests, but all data as pooled and as a single data.
Read 29 tweets
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James Wilson
@jamewils
UP Government is not providing any info in their redundant website but UP Government issues regular bulletins through WhatsApp to the journalists there.

But each district issues detailed bulletins in their website but to collate 75 districts data is really a tedious process!
This is one sample bulletin UP issues regularly to the jouralists there.

I appreciate the fact that they provide the information in a detailed manner w/o any changes from day one.

I used to regularly collect this data from one good friend there.
Many Governments are reluctant to share the information on their website.

Hope you remember how Delhi Govt evaded this for quite long time and I used to called out them regularly.

After High Court intervention only they started updating the data.
Read 5 tweets

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