So far, 132 people have died out of 42.2 million people in that age group per 2020 population estimates (CDC). That's 3 per 1 million. This "professor" is trying to tell you 3 to 7 per 10,000 FBS football players will die.
Junk science.
Junk science.
Here, I'm showing my work: 
Thing is, if you use only the case fatality rate of the age group (roughly 0.06%), every single FBS player would have to be infected to expect 7 deaths. But the reality is the true infection rate is much lower and there's no way every single player is getting it.
NCAA FBS participation, 2019: 15,710
18-29 fatalities: 0.4% of ~100,00 (403)
18-29 cases: 17.6% of ~2,145,000 (377,630)
CFR 18-29 (400/377,630=0.1%)
0.1%*15,710 = 15
Now consider: that's if every player got it, the CFR is the same for 18-22 and that CFR is same as IFR. It's not.
18-29 fatalities: 0.4% of ~100,00 (403)
18-29 cases: 17.6% of ~2,145,000 (377,630)
CFR 18-29 (400/377,630=0.1%)
0.1%*15,710 = 15
Now consider: that's if every player got it, the CFR is the same for 18-22 and that CFR is same as IFR. It's not.
The CFR under 22 is probably only half of what that represents for 23-29.
The IFR, actual infection fatality rate, is said by the CDC to be over 10 times lower than CFR.
And 100% of these athletes won't be infected.
15*.5*.1*.35= 1/4th of a player
The IFR, actual infection fatality rate, is said by the CDC to be over 10 times lower than CFR.
And 100% of these athletes won't be infected.
15*.5*.1*.35= 1/4th of a player
