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China Outflanked Trump. The Game Is Lost.
Trump is a flailing desperate drunk, swinging for China on Trade & Covid. WH went ''all-in'' on China trade purchases ( wont happen ), meanwhile Covid unwind has been a disaster ( x2 dip ?) leaving Trump 2020 chances almost negligible. ImageImage
Contrast with China, now on road to recovery with monetary stimulus negligible vs FED which might do more (Clarida) & likely congress slow on more fiscal. Exploding dificits & easy Fed will weigh on dollar. Meanwhile China declared a war of its own, building a tech revolution & ImageImage
then a ''call to arm's'' telling its people to get on board the stock market. yield differential & state sponsored tech explosion ( Nasdaq 95-00 ) will lift the Yuan driving a broad dollar drop. A weaker dollar boosts global growth ( NB 2009 it helped start a stock mkt rally Image
bottom line, Trumps race is run. The markets are forward looking. He is superflous to the outcome. Expect broad dollar weakness, Yuan strength with chinese tech tech/digital/blockchain driving gobal stocks in a miror image of the nasdaq / dollar rally from 1995-2000. Image
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