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A virologist on BBC: "The chances of you standing in a gym next to someone who has #coronavirus is now 1 in 2,000 or 2,500, so its a very slim chance."

"Slim chance"?

If 2m people who go to the gym in a week, 1,000 will have COVID.

It only took 1,356 to spark the UK .pandemic.
For those asking, the virologist was @DrChrisSmith, aka The Naked Scientist.

He is based at Cambridge University and does the
@NakedScientists podcast for the BBC.

He interviewed by an excellent @ritula on @BBCRadio4 last night. Listen at 9m50sec. bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m0…
"Do you think it is too soon to be opening gyms?" @IndependentSage's @zachking asks Professor @chrischirp.

“Yes. It clearly is,” she replies without hesitation.

This differs from @OliverDowden who says: “At last we can all get down the gym... and burn off Rishi’s meal deal.”
Who to believe.

The scientists or the former PR guy who announced this without any experts or even any pretence this was science-led.

On Weds, it was reported that SAGE has been sidelined.

Dowden has made misleading claims before (e.g. about “enhanced checks” on aircraft).
Is it safe to go to the gym, pub, etc?

It seems the SCIENCE suggests “no”

“We must avoid high risk environments like indoor spaces with poor ventilation until much less #COVID19 is circulating & we have an efficient test, track, isolate & support system”
docjon.org/post/its-not-o…
Asked about the fact SAGE has warned it might take a couple of weeks assess data from last week to see if its safe to make changes, @OliverDowden said:

“If there is any evidence...um...er... um... instance of things going in the wrong direction, we won't hesitate to take steps.”
Oliver Dowden fails to address the FACT that we can’t know if it will be safe to open gyms for 2 or 3 weeks.

Even by there own graph it is’t logical that we are going well beyond ‘Step 3’ when the fact that the R rate is still around 1. #KeepGymsClosed #GetFitOrDieTrying
WHO has formally recognized that #COVID19 can be transmitted indoors by droplets in the air.

Given these new findings & the fact many top scientists are expressing concerns, we need to call on the govt to re-examine the planned opening of gyms tomorrow.
thehill.com/policy/healthc…
What's most shocking about the govt's decision to opening gyms on 25 July is:

1) It is the FIRST TIME they have made an entirely political decision with no attempt to dress it up in science;

2) Despite KNOWING THIS, the media, MPs remain largely silent.
If - like me - you feel we should #KeepGymsClosed until there is more certainty on safety, we have a week to change the govt’s mind.

The science is on our side & it seems that even several SAGE members are too.

Join the campaign & spread the word.
JOURNALIST: How long is coronavirus in the air, a risk in an indoor environment?

@cj_dinenage: I'm not the scientist

JOURNALIST: You're responsible for reopening pools...We spoke to a virologist & he said 3 hours.

CD: Scientists have different views.
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