US daily numbers via @COVID19Tracking:
Newly reported deaths
Today: 476
Yesterday: 757
One week ago (7/5): 209
Newly reported cases
T: 61K
Y: 63K
7/5: 43K
Newly reported tests
T: 729K
Y: 634K
7/5: 657K
Positive test rate
T: 8.4%
Y: 9.9%
7/5: 6.5%
Newly reported deaths
Today: 476
Yesterday: 757
One week ago (7/5): 209
Newly reported cases
T: 61K
Y: 63K
7/5: 43K
Newly reported tests
T: 729K
Y: 634K
7/5: 657K
Positive test rate
T: 8.4%
Y: 9.9%
7/5: 6.5%
While the number of deaths might seem comparatively low, Sundays are usually slow for reporting, and in fact this is the most deaths reported on a Sunday since 5/31. So, pretty bad news. With that said, we're still learning about the reporting patterns of the current hotspots.
There were quite a lot of tests reported today, particularly in Florida, and in some states, the positive test rate seems to be plateauing.
But, so far optimism about plateaus has not "aged very well"; you'll think you've hit one, then you get some worse numbers the next day.
But, so far optimism about plateaus has not "aged very well"; you'll think you've hit one, then you get some worse numbers the next day.
Plus, given how high current rates of infection are, plateaus are bad news. There were around 60K cases reported in Florida this week. And say we're catching around ~1/5 of infections. That means ~300K people per week getting infected in FL. Plateauing at 300K/week is not good!
