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RuminatorDan (same on Telegram, substack etc) Profile picture
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Jul 29, 2020 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
A #SARS_CoV_2 data analysis by modelling.
Five European countries with highest fatalities to date, plus Sweden.

(This updates previous modelling tweeted on July 7th.) ImageImage
Note: This modelling is an analytical tool & not assumption-based predictive type. Minimise assumptions & complexity. Let reality lead the model, not vice versa. Model is compartmental, with additions & mods. Data is used to tests the hypotheses modelled & find parameter values.
for info: An example of previous related analysis from a couple of months ago:
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More from @RuminatorDan

RuminatorDan (same on Telegram, substack etc) Profile picture
Jan 14
"Official mortality data for England suggest systematic miscategorisation of vaccine status &uncertain effectiveness of C19 vaccination"
Our paper now includes the 'healthy vaccinee' effect, which we find does not explain the non-Covid mortality anomalies.
dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.…
Logically, whether the healthy vaccinee hypothesis is incorrect or correct, the implications are the same: Something is causing significant anomalies in the data. Claims made on the basis of those data are therefore highly questionable.
Dramatic increases in non-Covid mortality are observed in the unvaccinated population following dose 1 rollout & in dose 1 recipients following dose 2 rollout.
In plain English, the mortality of people who are not vaccinated appears to increase when other people are vaccinated.
Read 16 tweets
RuminatorDan (same on Telegram, substack etc) Profile picture
Oct 15, 2021
NSW Australia "Rules for people who are not fully vaccinated" 15 October 2021
"If you are over the age of 16 years and are not fully vaccinated you cannot visit another person’s place of residence, except in limited circumstances."
1/
"If you are not fully vaccinated you cannot visit a gym or indoor recreation facility."
2/
"If you are not fully vaccinated you cannot visit a recreation facility."
3/
Read 14 tweets
RuminatorDan (same on Telegram, substack etc) Profile picture
Sep 21, 2021
__ONS England & Wales Covid Deaths by Age as % of total Covid deaths, from Jan 2020 to 10 September 2021__

Stacked in this way, only older age groups are visible. This is because the vast majority of Covid deaths occurred in older people.
59% were aged 80+
93% were aged 60+
1/
Zooming in 10x, the chart now shows age groups which, in total, account for ~10% of all Covid deaths. (Older groups have been greyed out for clarity.)
4.3% of deaths were in people aged under 55.
1.3% were in people under 45 years old.
2/
At 100x zoom, the visible age groups, combined, make up only ~1% of total covid deaths.
0.74% of deaths were in people aged under 40.
0.19% were in people under 30 years old.
3/
Read 5 tweets
RuminatorDan (same on Telegram, substack etc) Profile picture
Sep 13, 2021
Israel Minister of Health explains to Minister of the Interior that the green pass in some places is required only so as to put pressure on the unvaccinated to get vaccinated.
(clip: Israel Channel 12)
English translation in thread below.
1/
Translation:
HER: I suspect that for outdoor restaurants you can remove the green pass.
HIM: I'll tell you, in swimming pools and also restaurants. Epidemiologically it's correct.
HER: Correct.
2/
HIM: The issue is - and I'm telling it to you - our problem is people who don't get vaccinated. We need a bit so that they...
HER: To put pressure on them.
HIM: Otherwise... We won't get out of this.
3/
Read 4 tweets
RuminatorDan (same on Telegram, substack etc) Profile picture
Sep 11, 2021
Whilst it might not suit the narrative and seems to have annoyed people, @Peston is correct in his observation. The data to which be is referring suggest very poor effectiveness against infection.
This is far from the first such evidence (e.g. Israel).
1/
Mr Peston can hardly be accused of having been critical of the narrative thus far, which surely means that the fact that he is questioning the data now is worth listening to.
2/
Poor protection against infection invalidates any logical reason for vaccinating children, for passports, for the health apartheid being shamefully stoked by many leaders, and more.
(Not that there aren't also other equally valid reasons why all those things are very wrong.)
3/
Read 4 tweets
RuminatorDan (same on Telegram, substack etc) Profile picture
Sep 10, 2021
Dictatorship... Democracy...
What's all the fuss about? They both start with a D so surely that makes them nearly the same thing?

Covid and Climate start with the same letter and they're the same thing too. Image
On the democracy vs dictatorship matter...
On the Covid Climate matter:
Read 4 tweets

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