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THREAD: It's been a brutal week for #COVID19 deaths in the US.
buzzfeednews.com/article/petera…
2/ This week's rise in #COVID19 deaths was driven in part (but not entirely) by Monday spike due to change in reporting in Texas, which switched to working from death certificates rather than reporting from local health authorities. Texas daily death counts from @nytimes data:
3/ Here's a good thread on the change in #COVID19 deaths reporting in Texas:
4/ Remember that deaths are a lagging indicator. Even though new daily cases have stabilized with moves by states that experienced surges to reverse reopening of bars etc, any change to the rising death count will lag by several weeks.
buzzfeednews.com/article/petera…
5/ Even in Arizona, which was the first big state with surging cases to start to turn a corner, it's unclear whether the daily death count is yet stabilizing. (Data from @nytimes and @COVID19Tracking.)
buzzfeednews.com/article/petera…
6/ Also, this week we passed the terrible milestone of 150,000 recorded deaths from #COVID19 in the US.
buzzfeednews.com/article/petera…
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Peter Aldhous
@paldhous
THREAD: I spent almost a decade fighting a libel action to bring you this story. I hope it helps prevent further harm.
buzzfeednews.com/article/petera…
2/ In December 2010, after an investigation spanning more than a year, I published this story @newscientist detailing problems with a prenatal paternity test offered by a company called the Health Genetic Center in Toronto, Canada
newscientist.com/article/mg2082…
3/ I spoke to women who’d been given results contradicted by tests run subsequently by accredited testing labs. Their lives were upended. One came close to aborting her fetus, based on an incorrect result.
Read 18 tweets
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Peter Aldhous
@paldhous
THREAD: #BlackLivesMatter protests have not led to clear spikes in #COVID19 transmission. What does that mean?
1/ Here are trends in new cases (7 day rolling average) for some counties with large protests
buzzfeednews.com/article/petera…
2/ Mask wearing and the outside setting may have helped, but experts warned not to leap to the conclusion that all outside gatherings are safe
buzzfeednews.com/article/petera…
3/ Other possible factors include relative youth of the protesters, and the fact that, even given the large size of many protests, most people in those cities were not crowded together
buzzfeednews.com/article/petera…
Read 6 tweets
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Peter Aldhous
@paldhous
THREAD: I've been reporting on DNA testing and scrutinizing my own genome for more than 10 years. Here's an end-of-decade perspective
buzzfeednews.com/article/petera…
After 23andMe, deCODE, and Navigenics burst on the scene with genome scans for health risks, many experts were skeptical of the value of their reports
newscientist.com/article/dn1793…
This was driven home for me when deCODE wrongly concluded I have a 40% lifetime chance of developing Alzheimer's. (That was when it reanalyzed my 23andMe data in a marketing stunt.)
web.archive.org/web/2010012517…
Read 15 tweets

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