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IMPORTANT UPDATE: 1. As we are looking further into the reporting of a possible yellowcake production facility near Al Ula, Saudi Arabia, we keep in mind lessons were learned from Syria, both Al Kibar and Marj as Sultan.
2. The former, a nuclear reactor in a nondescript box, with minimum visible security barriers; the latter, a uranium conversion facility with no outward signatures.
3. Two days ago, we identified a suspect site south of Al Ula as a follow-up to a WSJ report. This morning, we discovered an identical site, constructed about the same time, that appears to be associated with bulk waste disposal.
4. Together with the lack of other distinguishing features, the first suspect site that was previously labeled as a possible uranium ore concentration plant, is more likely some kind of waste treatment and disposal related facility and therefore NOT for yellowcake production.
5 .If the suspect site south of Al Ula we identified is indeed innocuous, as new evidence now suggests, then it would serve KSA well to simply invite the IAEA or media to visit the site and immediately eliminate it from further consideration and lay to rest any nuclear concerns.
6./6. In the meantime, we will continue to assess other possibly suspect sites in the area. Unfortunately, our wide area search is limited to what imagery is available on Google Earth and other public mapping services. For remote areas, imagery is no more recent than 2013.
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