Increase in cases for four consecutive weeks. And there’s some really interesting bits in the data (including some potential good news).
Summary in picture, detail in thread 👇
gov.uk/government/pub…
First, why more testing?
-Could be better test access & availability (a good thing).
-Could be people more willing to get tested (a good thing).
-Could be increase in other illnesses circulating that mimic COVID.
But they are certainly not exponentially growing and may well be falling. And there's some evidence to support this:
ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati…
coronavirus.data.gov.uk/cases
And there were >1,000 cases in Eng on 11th August & >1,000 in UK in 3days of past 4.
Numbers of contacts/case has stayed almost identical to week 9 at 5.2 contacts per case over all, 3.5 per non-complex case and 27.2 per complex case.
Smaller jump in cases than last week, and lower percentage positive testing rates. Plus still no rise in hospitalisations and deaths.
This all potentially points to good news (or at least, not worse news) for COVID infection rates in England.
gov.uk/government/new…
gov.uk/government/new…