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anlomedad 🐘 @anlomedad@climatejustice.social 🐘 Profile picture
@anlomedad
Aug 20, 2020 • 6 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
@nature was #CoveringClimateNow in 2019.
Their campaign was headed by this piece, "The hard truths of climate change — by the numbers"
The clip is part of it. It's an illustraton of IPCC SR 15 chapter 3, table 3.4. Good to download and share far and wide.
nature.com/immersive/d415…
Maybe, I'll translate it to German, what do you think?
IPCC SR 15 chapter 3 table 3.4, number of people in millions exposed to various risks at 1.5C, 2C and 3C. 3C is what Dr Merkel is aiming for and is right on target.

I think, the clip shows an incorrect colour code for Australia's and Argentina's risk score, right? Image
Above clip states IPCC and iopscience.iop.org/article/10.108… as source. The paper's abstract comes as clip! And it explains Australia's and Argentina's colour code:

people are exposed but not so vulnerable due to less poverty. So getting people out of poverty now is climate adaption.
1/2
"Global exposure and vulnerability to multi-sector development and climate change hotspots" iopscience.iop.org/article/10.108…
Clip 2/2 of the paper's abstract as video. (Great #scicomm!)

It explains risks and people's vulnerability at 1.5C, 2C and 3C in world regions by 2050.
First named author's announcement of above paper with the great scicomm: abstract in video form -which you watched above in Twitter quality😉🖖

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More from @anlomedad

anlomedad 🐘 @anlomedad@climatejustice.social 🐘 Profile picture
Jul 21
@MarvinTBaumann @ClimateDad77 I get your psych. thinking. But. Sit down and sketch a project plan with milestones and deadlines for keeping tech-civilisation afloat. Don't forget culture change toward solidarity: You'll find that only today's decision makers in econ & politics still ⏩
@MarvinTBaumann @ClimateDad77 can change our trajectory on time=in budget. With "today's decision makers" I really mean today's. So it doesn't matter a lot if non-decision-makers get depressed [by the truth]. It's not in their hands anymore, anyway. Covid saw to that. (That's how close we are to deadlines!)⏩
@MarvinTBaumann @ClimateDad77 On the other hand: realizing the truth in the big likelihood of a total crash soon frees up resources for also realizing what can be done today to help crash survivors. It's not the "end of the world" when tech-civilisation ends. People & rural communities can prepare but need⏩
Read 4 tweets
anlomedad 🐘 @anlomedad@climatejustice.social 🐘 Profile picture
Jul 22, 2022
Thoughts about after the civilisation implosion.

Even renaissance societies relied on extraction, international trade and specialisation.
But rekindled societies after the collapse only have non-useful know-how at first, resulting in caveman-level of useful sophistication
– *and* again rely on fossil and wood fuel for even the most basic tasks.

I agree with Robert Harris' "Second Sleep" where only population outside metropolitan areas survive the famine and violence. How could we today help the survivors to rekindle a *sustainable* organisation?
Which cultures r likely to rekindle societal organisation beyond tribes? IMO non-urban S-America. How to bolster those future attempts today, paper knowledge caches? How to curate that knowledge for its likely usefulness? "When there's no pharma industry: medicine for dummies"...
Read 13 tweets
anlomedad 🐘 @anlomedad@climatejustice.social 🐘 Profile picture
Jul 3, 2022
Do you see the near-term risk for civilisation collapse? Or did it merely seem like a form of fear-porn when Prof Steffen wrote about it in 2019?

Today I realised how I didn't see it earlier, why it took another 3 yrs odyssey spent on hard-sci & boneless ballads on degrowth.
The soft-sci troubadours sing about degrowth and doughnuts. Ballads of soft "transitions" to utopia. Risk awareness can't grow because these ballads are about a far-away time, not heeding the requirements of today's breeched planetary boundaries/budget.
I spent lotsa time deciphering the climate of the Pliocene or MIS11 and listening to ballads of "transitions" to utopia.
Assuming that this surely was what I need to know.
But neither physicists nor troubadours cover what would have raised my risk-awareness to reality-levels.
Read 9 tweets
anlomedad 🐘 @anlomedad@climatejustice.social 🐘 Profile picture
Jul 3, 2022
Intriguing.
A long drought prevailed AD 500ff in East Mediterranean & Arab Peninsula. Might've been in more regions but these I know of.

The 1st plague epidemic from rat fleas began in Kush/Egypt 541-549 and culled MENA & Europe.

Long droughts cause (death, war and) migration..
Did (the aftermath of) the drought fuel epidemic spread? Likely. Drought weakens states, workers flee, wars ensue, armies carry🪲everywhere.

Did Kush experience drought, too? Was the (onset of the) pandemic even caused by rats' or human behaviour that was influenced by drought? Image
What human or rat behaviour would trigger rat fleas to jump and infect humans?
I'd imagine you need lots of rats to increase the chances of a few infected fleas to jump. These rats need food and also be brave enough to run around in the immediate vicinity of humans.
Hm.
Read 24 tweets
anlomedad 🐘 @anlomedad@climatejustice.social 🐘 Profile picture
Jul 2, 2022
Intriguing is that Chile's citizens turned out to be the most risk-aware in this international Facebook survey. Of its 19mio citizens, 1094 took part in the survey and 60-70% know they'll be harmed personally by climate change.
This is the level of awareness we need!

How come?
The survey was conducted in Mar-Apr 2022, ~6 months after election and 1 month after inauguration of new left govt. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Chil…
I don't know anything of the talking points during their election. The only thing I know is, they now have a cli-sci as new EP secretary. Image
It might be that election campaigns were based on climate by all candidates and that this has in turn heightened the climate-awareness and the so important risk-awareness so much so that 60-70% rightly assume personal harm from climate change.
2 more awareness-factors could be
Read 12 tweets
anlomedad 🐘 @anlomedad@climatejustice.social 🐘 Profile picture
Jun 28, 2022
@UTneighbourofET @micha_bloss @MelnykAndrij @sven_giegold @AndrewSimms_uk Im Sept kommt Ulrike Herrmanns Buch dazu raus. Weiß nicht, ob sie das Wie skizziert oder nur das Warum. Es geht über Triage Economy + Rationen für allEs.

Ich habe gestern Forschungsgeld beantragt😎für die Analyse des Wie und des wieviel CO2 es kostet😁
@UTneighbourofET @micha_bloss @MelnykAndrij @sven_giegold @AndrewSimms_uk @drmihai78 hatte jetzt schon 2 Events, wo er in einer Talkrunde als Zuschauer mit seiner Frage drangenommen wurde, was die Gäste denn zu Rationen denken. Der Typ bei Phönix meinte dann, dass er dazu mal ne Sendung machen will.

Und Lanz hat auch schon zu Herrmann dasselbe gesagt.
@UTneighbourofET @micha_bloss @MelnykAndrij @sven_giegold @AndrewSimms_uk @drmihai78 Es werden 2 Sendunden nach dem Motto "nett, aber nicht durchsetzbar" werden.Sind ja Redakteure, die die Dramaturgie bestimmen & die haben auf Rationen 0 Bock. So klimadoof wie Polit- u WirtschaftsJournos sich verhalten, is das klar.

Egal. Wenn Bürger drüber reden wird's kommen🖖
Read 11 tweets

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