#UKInternalMarketBill - what now?

It's as bad as, or perhaps even worse, than expected. Brandon Lewis was not exaggerating.
That means Tory MPs are going to have to nail their colours to the mast. A dozen or so have expressed opposition already - the question then is how many do, and are there enough to gut the bill of the nasty bits.
There's also the House of Lords to account for. It's more likely to have problems than the Commons does.

With both the Government will concede a little, but generally try to stick to its position. But the bill will not survive in *exactly* this form.
Probably more likely it's amended to water it down than being rejected completely.
But there is a timetable problem. It's going to be a good few weeks until this is all clear - and because the Brexit clock is ticking, the EU side cannot afford to just wait to see what comes out of the UK parliamentary process.
What does EU do?

Argue this is the UK not respecting the commitments it has previously made, and push back? Possibly by suspending negotiations until Number 10 gives some clarity?

Or keep the notion open that negotiations continue - albeit slowly, and at administrator level?
The EU would rather avoid being manoeuvred into the position of it being the one that caused a breakdown (that would be how the UK press would play it).
But likewise the EU is also answerable to publics in the EU Member States, and a strong reaction towards rogue neighbour UK might go down well in Paris or Berlin.
I think we can now be pretty certain no one will be dousing the 🔥 UK side.

And all of this surely brings No Deal somewhat closer. Maybe those columnists in The Guardian saying Johnson wants a Deal earlier this week were a bit off?


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More from @jonworth

22 Oct
Serious question: what is the direct and short term impact of the US Election result on the UK's Brexit negotiations?

Why is this relevant?

US election is 3 Nov, UK-EU trade deal now only likely mid-November - i.e. afterwards
Trump wins: Johnson sees that a belligerent hardliner can win, despite it all, and the 🥕 of a UK-US Trade Deal is still there (yes, I know this wouldn't happen in reality, but you think Liz Truss et al care? It's the *idea* that matters)

Brexit impact: chances of No Deal ⬆️?
Biden wins: Johnson has lost his main ally, Trump, and the prospect of a trade deal with the USA - short term - evaporates too. Biden will have other priorities than attending to the UK, and indeed friendship with Paris, Berlin, Brussels will be a higher priority
Read 6 tweets
20 Oct
This was a very fun bit of exploration with @timohetzel @smrqdt & @datawrangler2

Now I know more about how DHL routes packages than any normal person would ever need to know

And if my 📦 doesn't arrive tomorrow... the person at the 📞 centre isn't going to know what hit them!
To cut a long story short: every part of Germany has a Postleitzahl (like a ZIP code), but these cover pretty large areas

Deutsche Post and DHL then have two other numbers at the start of "Leitcode" to route a package - the "Straßenkennzahl" that is the number of the street...
and then the number of the house.

So - for example - 85570.125.008 takes you to:
Schweigerweg 8
85570 Markt Schwaben

32312.302.012 is:
Wittekindstr. 12
32312 Lübbecke

You can basically turn any German address into an 11 figure number.
Read 5 tweets
20 Oct
When I lived in Kreuzberg @DHLPaket was the best 📦🚚

Now I'm in Neukölln - & am ordering lots of odds & ends due to the flat move - it's a complete mess with them

The 🏠 has a massive 53 on it, it's simple to find, but DHL drivers see a building site in front & don't even look
You then 📞 @dhlpaket (because their online chat is useless) and their staff simply cannot set a "please try again tomorrow, the address does exist" status for the shipment

You instead have to make a complaint, but I don't really want to complain - I just want them to 👀
Also as every delivery driver has a computer device, could they not simply make a note about an address - numbers 51, 53 and 55 in this case - and flash an alert to the delivery driver "these buildings are new but now lived in!"
Read 5 tweets
16 Oct
Britain just go.
Go now.
Read 23 tweets
7 Oct
This by @CSBarnard24 is excellent - about why the Commission is bringing a ECJ case against the UK

There's just 1 issue that I wonder about...

When the Commission threatened legal action on 10 Sept, we thought the Lords would be done with the Internal Market Bill by end of Sept

Number 10 then decided to *not* push for a tight timetable
So the EU then had to use the Article 5 / good faith argument, because the Bill is still to be approved - so breach of the protocol cannot *yet* be used as an argument
Read 4 tweets
1 Oct
It’s hard to think how @BLiberadzki @AdinaValean and the Council could have done any WORSE on #railpassengerrights - trialogue agreement today

1️⃣ Force majeure ⚡️🦠 provisions are so wide they’ll mean passengers get stuck and get compensated less - makes 🚊 LESS attractive
2️⃣ Through ticketing 🎫 provisions are ridiculously bad. Only apply to firms and their 100% subsidiaries. This brings no practical benefit *anywhere* and could lead to further erosion of availability of through tickets
3️⃣ That every train must carry 🚲 is a little bit of progress - but just 4 bikes per train is ridiculously low

4️⃣ Reduction of notification period to 24h for persons with reduced mobility 🦽 is a bit of progress - but there should be no notification AT ALL
Read 7 tweets

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