My views :

1. Dominating Spangur is critical to deny Chinese break out with mech formations via Spangur Gap. We cannot vacate our newly occupied positions unless Chinese retreat all the way back to Xinjiang and Tibet

2. Our positions on North Bank ridges also necessary

1/n
till Chinese completely vacate F4-F8 .Also imp to deny link up with Gogra

3. I don't see Chinese going back and it seems we are trying very hard to avoid any kinetic action and certainly war

4. Therefore we will have to maintain our positions + keep reinforcements in place

2/n
till such time Chinese fully withdraw

5. You are right. Significant defence budget increase for all 3 services is critical. If not now, war will happen in 5-10 years. That is Chinese plan and declared 'war zone' concept - attack adversaries one by one. We are 100% next

3/n
6. IAF with 28 odd sqns can just about achieve air dominance now but balance is rapidly shifting in PLAAF favour every year. Dangerous

7. IN minesweeper nude, very low on subs,ASW Heptrs but can manage tdy. But gap with PLAN is increasing super fast.They churn out destroyer

4/n
but it takes us 10 years to construct 1 destroyer after order placed and 20 years to place an order.

1.4% of GDP for defence is suicidal. Has to reach minimum 2.5 % and a defence budget of minimum 100 billion USD. This has to happen now.

Or we go to war now. Every year

5/n
we wait with our suicidally low defence expenditure + OFB/DPSU/MOD procurement structure makes makes the Chinese stronger.

Either we use 'peace' to fix this - very unlikely given our track record

Or we go... Now !

n/n

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More from @Ak5985965

10 Sep
Let's look at your coercion capabilities n record

1. 15/16 June - #Galwan you changed troops, occupied high ground on a narrow pass, equipped yourselves with lethal weapons and launched an ambush on an unarmed party lead by Col Santosh Babu. He had come to negotiate....

1/n
Result - our troops snatched your weapons and launched a bayonet charge. We KIA 45-100 of your men, captured many officers. You know well that your men were shrieking with fear - so called shock troops

Ambush time, place, weapons of your choosing and yet you lost...badly

2/n
2. Spangur 29/30 Aug - Your troops tried to take heights around Spangur but our troops outran them and took the heights not only around Spangur but right up to Rezangla - 30 km frontage. Your entire position in Chushul has been made untebable. You were thinking you would..

3/n
Read 15 tweets
8 Sep
So

1. We are on LAC heights (our perception 😉)
2. Chinese tps under pressure to dislodge but old
baseball bat drill won't work. They will need big numbers and will have to asslt with wpns. Local commanders have probably not relayed full situation to top

#Ladakh

contd..

1/n
They may be purged if they tell Xi full extent of the problem

3. Warning shots are normally fired when en approaches defender. The attacker usually does not fire ''warning'' shots. We fired on 29/30th Aug to dissuade Chinese attackers

4. But we say China fired. Perfect 👏

2/n
thats exactly how we should play this game. But for analysis of China's options, lets accept Chinese claim that India fired. China says their tps then stabilised the situation

Kaise bhai ? By disenaging ?

Put yourself in Chinese commander's shoes. What are his options

3/n
Read 6 tweets
1 Sep
Reports from credible journalists like @nitingokhale confirm that our tps have not crossed the #LAC but have occupied heights to secure the Spangur Gap on our side of LAC. This is a very significant move. Here is why :

1. The Spangur gap is at western extremity of Spangur

1/n
lake, less than 10 km from DSDBO road n about 8 km from Chushul air strip. It is a mountain pass about 2-3 km width n flat tank country. Chinese Armoured thrust from here can go to airstrip n DSDBO road very quickly. Conversely, our mech forces can punch through across LAC

2/n
2. We can dominate North bank of Pangong Hso (F4-F8) by fire from the South Bank. However if Chinese come through Spangur gap they can threaten flanks of the forces on South Bank

Thats why Chinese want Spangur. My y'day thread on their intentions

3/n
Read 8 tweets
17 Aug
Help India out ? We don't need your help. You need ours. Let me show you why :

We were the only country that did not attend the BRI meeting in 2019. And of course we refused to be part of CPEC. Why ? Because it does not add any value to us or to anyone else

1/n
Your ability to complete these projects is under serious doubt. Making cheap shirts by millions is one thing, managing a complex multi year project involving many countries is quite another. Needs humility, wisdom, openness, character - attributes you haven't demonstrated

2/n
The cancer of communism and #Xitler has destroyed any civilisational strengths you might have had. In that scenario, why should we join these projects which are bound to fail ? Which communist regime has ever delivered on such ambitious projects - without collapsing ?

3/n
Read 11 tweets
20 Jul
What has this cluster made that is not used even if its substandard ?

INSAS - accurate weapon but very unreliable in action. Have used it and though we are taught to love our weapon I couldn't. Our troops hate it. Every single one. Are we all corrupt? From Sipahi to CO ?

1/n
Yet we used it for almost 2 decades. Still do even though it's useless. Go ask any jawan or JCO please. Or just ask the CAPFs even

INSAS LMG - Jams all the time. Sir, idea of a oppressive fire weapon is to give continuous fire. I'm sure you have fired this LMG

2/n
Do you remember how difficult it was to change the magazine while in prone position ? Took time n you lost your 'shisht' or aim. How will you give continuous fire like this ? WW2 Bren guns that were used till mid 90s were much better. And yes, apart from this, INSAS LMG

3/n
Read 9 tweets
6 Jul
No. US #AircraftCarriers movement is NOT at your pleasure. The Nimitz and Ronald Reagan each have a air group of 90 combat a/c. Both carriers have 24 SAMs and and CIWS systems but they will be defended against missile attacks by their escort screen

1/n
Each Carrier Strike Group has 2 Ticenderoga class cruisers with 122 SAMs (Surface to Air missiles) each. Each CSG has a destroyer squadron of 5 destroyers. Each destroyer carries at least 60 SAMs. That makes it 300 SAMs

Thats 24 + 122 + 300 = 446 SAMs in each CSG

2/n
You will have to launch 100's of missiles against each carrier to have any chance of them getting through the SAM screen. You simply don't have enough missiles.

But lets say you are lucky and even manage to hit 01 carrier. You won't be able to sink it. The other vessels

3/n
Read 5 tweets

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