Aaron Derfel Profile picture
Sep 22, 2020 11 tweets 6 min read Read on X
1) Authorities confirmed Monday what many suspected: Montreal is now in a second wave with 53 #COVID19 outbreaks. In this thread, I’ll call for more restrictions to lower viral transmission in a city that appears to again have become the epicenter of the #pandemic in Canada.
2) The rapidity of the spread of the #coronavirus in Montreal cannot be overstated. In a just week, the number of #COVID19 outbreaks in city schools has doubled to 14, including at Herzliah High, which has closed until Oct. 5. Outbreaks have also hit 28 workplaces.
3) What’s more, clusters of #COVID19 cases have been observed in two daycares and six eldercare homes. Young workers appear to be driving the transmission of the highly contagious pathogen, a much different situation than during the first wave.
4) Officially, the city has counted 507 #COVID cases since Friday. But the director of the Montreal public health department cited different figures that total at least 560. In a sign of the gravity of the situation, Montreal has activated its #pandemic command centre.
5) Early Monday morning, I received a text revealing that the Jewish General Hospital now has five patients on ventilators in its intensive-care unit. My knowledgeable source used an exclamation point (!) to highlight the fact that patients are back on ventilators.
6) Rising hospitalizations is a sign the #pandemic may be taking a turn for the worse. Since Sept. 4, Quebec has recorded a net increase of 54 hospitalizations, a far cry from the hundreds during the #pandemic’s first wave, but a trend nonetheless.
7) Montreal’s rolling seven-day average rose to 56.52 #COVID cases per million population from 50.8 Saturday. The city’s daily total on Sunday of 219 cases was higher than Toronto’s 175. The last time Montreal posted a higher number was on May 28: 227. See the chart below.
8) At the neighborhood level, Côte-des-Neiges, downtown Métro and Parc-Extension grabbed the lion’s share of #COVID19 cases: 54, up from 34 the day before. The centre of the city has apparently become a #COVID hot zone, but the #coronavirus is circulating everywhere.
9) Although Montreal hasn’t declared any #COVID19 deaths in nine days, we know from experience that authorities will likely add fatalities retroactively. Mayor Valérie Plante noted Montreal’s #pandemic death toll of 3,476 is higher than those who perished in the 9-11 attacks.
10) Plante also warned that Montreal, which is now in an orange zone, could move to red. Plante said she’s preparing herself psychologically for that possibility. If that’s what could happen, why isn’t the city imposing more restrictions to limit the spread of the #coronavirus?
11) Why are bars still open? Why haven’t all public gatherings been reduced to 25 in the city? Why won’t the government heed the pleas of parents and teachers to require students to wear masks in the classroom? This perilous moment calls for swift, tough action. End of thread.

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More from @Aaron_Derfel

Mar 13
1) On Tuesday, the Quebec government unveiled its 2024-2025 budget, with the biggest expenditure to be made on health and social services. In this Twitter thread, I assess whether this "Health/Education Priorities" budget lives up to its hype, especially when it comes to seniors.
2) As you can see from the chart below, the lion's share of spending in the budget is for health and social services, pegged at $61.9 billion — up by 4.17% from the year before. In contrast, spending on education — so vital to Quebec's future — will rise 9.35% to $22.3 billion. Image
3) But as far as health and social services is concerned, Tuesday's budget may be indulging in a bit of spin. The chart below states that Quebec will spend an extra $3.7 billion over the next five years to "support a humane and effective organization of health care." Image
Read 9 tweets
Jan 5
1) "The pandemic is far from over," one of the preeminent experts on #COVID19, Dr. Eric Topol, declared today, Jan. 4, 2024 — three years after the world first learned of a novel virus that was killing people in China. In this thread, I take stock of what's going on in Quebec.
2) "The pandemic is far from over, as evidenced by the rapid rise to global dominance of the JN.1 variant of SARS-CoV-2," Topol noted in a Los Angeles Times op-ed. In Quebec, nearly one in two genetic samples collected was from JN.1 as of two weeks ago. It's likely higher now. Image
3) "Clearly this virus variant, with its plethora of new mutations, has continued its evolution ... for infecting or reinfecting us," Topol added. Although the updated booster is considered 60% protective against hospitalization, only 17% of the Quebec population has taken it.
Read 10 tweets
Dec 17, 2023
1) BREAKING: By every major indicator, Quebec's health-care system is now arguably the worst it's ever been. Please click on my story below on Quebec wait lists for cancer and other surgery setting record highs — again. via @mtlgazettemontrealgazette.com/news/local-new…
2) Although Quebec has made it a priority to tackle wait lists for cancer surgery, more than 4,400 oncology patients are still waiting for their operations. More than 600 are waiting longer than the medically acceptable delay of 57 days, potentially putting their health at risk. Image
3) Even the wait list for so-called non-urgent surgery has now swelled to nearly 164,000 people. Almost 14,000 Quebecers today have been waiting more than a year for their surgery. At a year's wait, a non-urgent surgery starts to become urgent. Image
Read 14 tweets
Dec 6, 2023
1) BREAKING: Quebec, like other jurisdictions across North America, is now in the midst of a new #COVID19 resurgence — nearly 4 years into the #pandemic. In this thread, I will assess the implications of this latest wave of infections, likely driven by a new SARS-CoV-2 variant. Image
2) On Dec. 5, Quebec declared a total of 2,214 hospitalizations with and for #COVID. Please note this increase also reflects a change in the way Quebec's public health institute has been compiling such hospitalizations. But make no mistake: Quebec is still facing a resurgence. Image
3) The United States is also facing a #COVID hospitalizations resurgence, with 20,000 new admissions per week, according to preeminent expert @EricTopol. In the U.S., the JN.1 variant is becoming dominant, with wastewater levels surging with SARS-CoV-2. See Topol's tweet below. Image
Read 10 tweets
Nov 13, 2023
1) BREAKING: Jewish-owned businesses in Montreal are being targeted and vandalized with antisemitic profanity. Please click below to read my report.
via @mtlgazettemontrealgazette.com/news/local-new…
2) "Last weekend, they put swastikas on the … menus downtown and they wrote FUCK THE JEWS," a Jewish business owner told me. I have also seen a list of Jewish businesses that is circulating, provoking not only boycotts but vandalism.
3) The Gazette has decided not to publish these disturbing images, as the Jewish business owners are fearful of reprisals.
Read 4 tweets
Jun 16, 2023
1) BREAKING: A month after Japan downgraded #COVID19 to the seasonal flu, the country is now beset with a 9th wave of infections. In this thread, I will explore the persistence of the #pandemic that everyone — especially politicians — wants to forget. Image
2) First, it's worth noting that the number of #COVID hospitalizations in the nation of 125 million rose to 4,330 from 4,122 a week before. The seven-day average for the number of patients in intensive care units was 79, according to the Japan Times.
3) It appears that XBB subtypes of the SARS-CoV-2 virus are driving the latest wave of infections in Japan. Meanwhile, China has recorded a more than five-fold surge in the number of people diagnosed with COVID in hospitals since April. China is also bracing for another wave. Image
Read 7 tweets

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