Aaron Derfel Profile picture
Sep 25, 2020 13 tweets 6 min read Read on X
1) Just before the start of the academic year, Ontario’s #COVID19 science advisory panel warned “children could play a relevant role in SARS-CoV-2 transmission.” In this thread, I will call upon Quebec to implement more aggressive measures to protect students in schools.
2) The expert panel suggested that school closures during the first wave “may have been important contributors to the containment of the COVID-19 pandemic.” This does not mean I’m recommending closing schools again.
covid19-sciencetable.ca/sciencebrief/t…
3) But perhaps the school environment itself — with packed classrooms and some students not maintaining #PhysicalDistancing or wearing masks — can lead to #COVID19 outbreaks. Certainly, that has happened in at least 14 schools in Montreal.
4) What we’ve noticed is that the second wave has coincided, in part, with the start of the school year. Again, I am not recommending that schools close, but observing that 359 classrooms in Quebec have been shuttered to date. See the chart below.
5) Most of the #COVID19 outbreaks that the Montreal public health department has identified have been in the workplace, with transmission of the virus driven mostly by people in the 18-to-34 age bracket. In second place, however, are schools.
6) The latest statistics from Public Health reveal that since the start of the school year, the Montreal demographic that has reported the sharpest percentage increase (22.43%) in new #COVID cases are those aged 10 to 19, comprising some elementary and all high school students.
7) This does not suggest that the city’s schools have become breeding grounds for the #coronavirus, like the Diamond Princess or seniors’ residences in the first wave. But authorities must make them safer. It’s the least we can do for our children.
8) Top of the list of recommendations is for Quebec to finally heed the pleas of parents and schools to require that students wear masks in the classroom, as Ontario has mandated. Anecdotally, more students are taking it upon themselves to don them anyway in classrooms.
9) Just putting on a face covering (over the nose!) makes one instantly more aware and careful during the #pandemic. Another recommendation is to consider portable ventilation where practical. Every added measure of protection helps in this #pandemic.
10) Meanwhile, Montreal’s rolling seven-day average rose to 76.66 cases per million population Thursday, up from 64.53 the day before. The city posted 247 new #COVID19 cases. At this rate, it might not be too long before the metropolis becomes a red zone. (See the chart below.)
11) At the neighborhood level, #COVID19 is continuing to surge in central and eastern Montreal, but cases are also sprouting up in the west end of the city, as the chart below makes clear. And some of these districts have overcrowded schools.
12) It’s against the backdrop of at least 53 active outbreaks in Montreal that #COVID hospitalizations are ticking up and ER congestion has turned into a huge problem. (See below). The circumstances now call for a revision to Quebec’s school plan. Please stay safe. End of thread.
Homelessness may be rising in Montreal during the #pandemic. Another important story by @titocurtis. Support The Rover. ricochet.media/en/3301 via @ricochet_en

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More from @Aaron_Derfel

Mar 13
1) On Tuesday, the Quebec government unveiled its 2024-2025 budget, with the biggest expenditure to be made on health and social services. In this Twitter thread, I assess whether this "Health/Education Priorities" budget lives up to its hype, especially when it comes to seniors.
2) As you can see from the chart below, the lion's share of spending in the budget is for health and social services, pegged at $61.9 billion — up by 4.17% from the year before. In contrast, spending on education — so vital to Quebec's future — will rise 9.35% to $22.3 billion. Image
3) But as far as health and social services is concerned, Tuesday's budget may be indulging in a bit of spin. The chart below states that Quebec will spend an extra $3.7 billion over the next five years to "support a humane and effective organization of health care." Image
Read 9 tweets
Jan 5
1) "The pandemic is far from over," one of the preeminent experts on #COVID19, Dr. Eric Topol, declared today, Jan. 4, 2024 — three years after the world first learned of a novel virus that was killing people in China. In this thread, I take stock of what's going on in Quebec.
2) "The pandemic is far from over, as evidenced by the rapid rise to global dominance of the JN.1 variant of SARS-CoV-2," Topol noted in a Los Angeles Times op-ed. In Quebec, nearly one in two genetic samples collected was from JN.1 as of two weeks ago. It's likely higher now. Image
3) "Clearly this virus variant, with its plethora of new mutations, has continued its evolution ... for infecting or reinfecting us," Topol added. Although the updated booster is considered 60% protective against hospitalization, only 17% of the Quebec population has taken it.
Read 10 tweets
Dec 17, 2023
1) BREAKING: By every major indicator, Quebec's health-care system is now arguably the worst it's ever been. Please click on my story below on Quebec wait lists for cancer and other surgery setting record highs — again. via @mtlgazettemontrealgazette.com/news/local-new…
2) Although Quebec has made it a priority to tackle wait lists for cancer surgery, more than 4,400 oncology patients are still waiting for their operations. More than 600 are waiting longer than the medically acceptable delay of 57 days, potentially putting their health at risk. Image
3) Even the wait list for so-called non-urgent surgery has now swelled to nearly 164,000 people. Almost 14,000 Quebecers today have been waiting more than a year for their surgery. At a year's wait, a non-urgent surgery starts to become urgent. Image
Read 14 tweets
Dec 6, 2023
1) BREAKING: Quebec, like other jurisdictions across North America, is now in the midst of a new #COVID19 resurgence — nearly 4 years into the #pandemic. In this thread, I will assess the implications of this latest wave of infections, likely driven by a new SARS-CoV-2 variant. Image
2) On Dec. 5, Quebec declared a total of 2,214 hospitalizations with and for #COVID. Please note this increase also reflects a change in the way Quebec's public health institute has been compiling such hospitalizations. But make no mistake: Quebec is still facing a resurgence. Image
3) The United States is also facing a #COVID hospitalizations resurgence, with 20,000 new admissions per week, according to preeminent expert @EricTopol. In the U.S., the JN.1 variant is becoming dominant, with wastewater levels surging with SARS-CoV-2. See Topol's tweet below. Image
Read 10 tweets
Nov 13, 2023
1) BREAKING: Jewish-owned businesses in Montreal are being targeted and vandalized with antisemitic profanity. Please click below to read my report.
via @mtlgazettemontrealgazette.com/news/local-new…
2) "Last weekend, they put swastikas on the … menus downtown and they wrote FUCK THE JEWS," a Jewish business owner told me. I have also seen a list of Jewish businesses that is circulating, provoking not only boycotts but vandalism.
3) The Gazette has decided not to publish these disturbing images, as the Jewish business owners are fearful of reprisals.
Read 4 tweets
Jun 16, 2023
1) BREAKING: A month after Japan downgraded #COVID19 to the seasonal flu, the country is now beset with a 9th wave of infections. In this thread, I will explore the persistence of the #pandemic that everyone — especially politicians — wants to forget. Image
2) First, it's worth noting that the number of #COVID hospitalizations in the nation of 125 million rose to 4,330 from 4,122 a week before. The seven-day average for the number of patients in intensive care units was 79, according to the Japan Times.
3) It appears that XBB subtypes of the SARS-CoV-2 virus are driving the latest wave of infections in Japan. Meanwhile, China has recorded a more than five-fold surge in the number of people diagnosed with COVID in hospitals since April. China is also bracing for another wave. Image
Read 7 tweets

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