Kai Kupferschmidt Profile picture
Sep 25, 2020 16 tweets 16 min read Read on X
"So-called lockdowns and the impact on global travel and trade have already taken such a heavy toll”, says @DrTedros at @WHO #covid19 presser. "The global economy is expected to contract by trillions of dollars this year."
@DrTedros @WHO "Many countries have poured money into domestic stimulus packages”, says @DrTedros. "But these investments will not on their own address the root cause of the economic crisis – which is the disease that paralyses health systems, disrupts economies and drives fear and uncertainty“
@DrTedros @WHO Today, @WHO and partners are publishing strategy plan and investment case for scale-up phase of the ACT Accelerator, says @DrTedros.
Aims to deliver
- 2 billion doses of vaccine
- 245 million treatment courses
- 500 million tests
to low/middle income countries by end of 2021
@DrTedros @WHO Current financing gap is $35 billion, says @DrTedros. "To put it in perspective, $35 billion is less than 1% of what G20 governments have already committed to domestic economic stimulus packages… It's roughly equivalent to what the world spends on cigarettes every two weeks"
@DrTedros @WHO Q: World is close to 1 million #covid19 deaths. Is it possible another million will die?
“One million is a terrible number and I think we need to reflect on that before we start considering the second million”, says @DrMikeRyan. "There is a lot that can be done to save lives."
@DrTedros @WHO @DrMikeRyan “Whether another million people die of #COVID19 is not a function of whether or not we have a vaccine”, says Bruce Aylward. "It's a function of whether or not we put the tools and approaches and knowledge that we have today to work to save lives and prevent transmission."
@DrTedros @WHO @DrMikeRyan Q: how to get especially young people to change behaviour?
Older people get this wrong, says @DrMikeRyan. "The vast majority of young people that I know are just as committed to containing this disease and saving lives as anybody else. In fact, more committed."
@DrTedros @WHO @DrMikeRyan “We have to see how we can support youth, like we support any sector in our society, to protect themselves and protect others”, says @DrMikeRyan. "I really hope we don't get into a sort of finger wagging... not a dialogue that is going to work, it certainly never worked with me."
@DrTedros @WHO @DrMikeRyan (Side note: For 9 months now I have been impressed by @DrMikeRyan’s #Covid19 communication. This is not about some kind of technical skill, his words are powerful because they are always informed by his humanity, by a will to understand not judge, to listen not talk.)
@DrTedros @WHO @DrMikeRyan Q about Africa and its success so far.
“We're not out of the woods anywhere and I would say we're not out of the woods in Africa”, says @DrMikeRyan. Lab capacity increased immensely, but "still many areas outside main cities where testing is not as good as it should be."
@DrTedros @WHO @DrMikeRyan "Africa has many lessons to teach the world about how to be resilient, how to be creative”, says @DrMikeRyan. "I have learned, side by side with many of my African colleagues on the front line and I guarantee you, I've learned more than I've ever taught."
@DrTedros @WHO @DrMikeRyan “Thing I've noticed over my career with colleagues who've been trained and worked in Africa, is that they immediately think about the community dimension as the first thing they think about not the last thing they think about”, says @DrMikeRyan.
@DrTedros @WHO @DrMikeRyan Q about resurgence in Europe.
“We are seeing in a number of countries right now, an increasing trend in cases. And part of that is due to the fact that we have better surveillance”, says @mvankerkhove. “But what is worrying to us is an increase in hospitalizations"
@DrTedros @WHO @DrMikeRyan @mvankerkhove Cases increasing fast in parts of Europe, says @DrMikeRyan. “We are seeing hospitals starting to have more occupancy, we're seeing ICUs beginning to have more occupancy, we're starting to see a small uptick in deaths in older people and that will inevitably become more.
@DrTedros @WHO @DrMikeRyan @mvankerkhove Lockdowns are last resort, says @DrMikeRyan. “To think that we're back in last resort territory in September, at the beginning of the autumn. I think that’s a pretty sobering thought. Have we really exhausted all of the tools, so we're back to lockdowns as a solution? "
@DrTedros @WHO @DrMikeRyan @mvankerkhove “We have to move fast”, says @DrMikeRyan. "I think Europe has as a lot of work to do right now to stabilize the situation and bring the transmission under some kind of control"

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More from @kakape

May 16
#h5n1 presser by @USDA and @HHSGov just ended. Had some some interesting bits (but what I would really love to see is still... serology):
@USDA @HHSGov - USDA researchers have done a “ground beef cooking study” to test at what temperature #H5N1 in meat is killed. To be clear: Tests have found no H5N1 in beef samples, so this was done “in the interest of scientific inquiry and to further reaffirm consumer confidence”
@USDA @HHSGov So the researchers added H5N1 to ground beef patties then cooked them. “There was no virus present in the burgers cooked to 145 degrees internal temperature, or roughly medium, or 160 degrees, which equates with a well done burger, which is the recommended cooking temperature”
Read 9 tweets
May 12
With #H5N1 #birdflu spreading amongst dairy cows, one of the most important things to think about right now is what would need to happen for this virus to actually start a pandemic.
I'm on a train, so a brief thread...
One thing to remember is that compared to some other influenza viruses H5N1 actually faces pretty high barriers to becoming a human-to-human pathogen. I wrote a story a little over a year ago outlining some of the changes it would probably need: science.org/content/articl…
As @PeacockFlu told me at the time: H5 probably has one of the largest barriers to being a pandemic virus of any avian influenza virus. “It's really wrong in so many ways”, he told me.
Read 14 tweets
May 8
The thing that most strikes me about the current #H5N1 #birdflu outbreak in cattle (and terrifies me to some extent) is how much the virus surprised us once again. And how cavalier our response seems in the face of that fact.
Remember that this is not a new virus. As Martin Beer, an expert on bovine viruses and on influenza, told me a few days ago: “This is not SARS-CoV-2. There is 27 years of research on this virus.” And yet…
He also told me that if someone had painted the exact scenario we are in right now a few months ago, his response would have been 'How do people come up with these crazy stories?'.
Read 12 tweets
Apr 27
Stat’s @HelenBranswell talking about covid vaccine messaging and „The curse of the 95%“ now at @ESCMID #ECCMID2024 Image
Many scientists realized that expectations for a vaccine that is injected into the arm to prevent a respiratory infection were too high, she says, but the public was not prepared for this…

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The comparison with flu is interesting, says @HelenBranswell: Not only was the model ignored in communicating about the covid19 vaccines but in the end the things that people in the US accept about flu vaccines are not accepted for covid19 vaccines… #ECCMID2024

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Read 5 tweets
Mar 12
So sad to hear that Paul Alexander passed yesterday at age 78 from Covid-19. Paul contracted polio in 1952, when he was just six years old. He ended up in an iron lung and while he could live outside it for extended periods of time he never really left it.
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Two years ago my colleagues and I talked to Paul for a few polio episodes of our @pandemiapodcast.
Paul told us about the full life he lived, about the horror of the disease, about studying law and practicing as a lawyer, writing a book and much more.
@pandemiapodcast At the time we put out a special episode just with the interview. (There is a German intro til about 8:00. then you can hear the full interview in English though he can be hard to understand over the sound of the iron lung)
files.podcaster.de/podcasthosting…
Read 7 tweets
Aug 4, 2023
The two papers on the #H5N1 avian influenza outbreak in cats in Poland make for really interesting reading. The first describes the outbreak and the second investigates the emergence and transmission.
(I'm on a train again so a brief thread).
"Information about a highly fatal disease in cats with respiratory and nervous system signs began to circulate in social media and among cat lovers in mid-June 2023." Cases were mostly from cities but across the map...
https://t.co/R5vrPnMs0ieurosurveillance.org/content/10.280…
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Symptoms were similar in all cases: "loss of appetite, apathy, hypersalivation, fever ... followed by nervous symptoms such as epileptic seizures, increased muscle tension and sometimes stiffness of the limbs." Most cats were euthanized, the others died a natural death.
Read 10 tweets

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