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Hansi Lo Wang (he/him) Profile picture
@hansilowang
Oct 3, 2020 • 15 tweets • 12 min read • Read on X
Coming to you live around 9:25 a.m. on @NPRWeekend with @nprscottsimon to try to walk you through the twists and turns of the #2020Census saga
npr.org/2020/10/02/919…
@NPRWeekend @nprscottsimon 2. In case you missed my chat with @nprscottsimon, here's a thread on what's going on with the #2020Census...
@NPRWeekend @nprscottsimon 3. Q: Where are we now with the end date for #2020Census counting?

A. 10/31 *for now* because of a court order by a federal judge in California. The order has been appealed to the 9th Circuit, which has set a hearing for 10/5. And Trump admin says it's ready to go to #SCOTUS...
@NPRWeekend @nprscottsimon 4. Q: What do four more weeks of counting mean for the #2020Census?

A: More time for door knocking by census workers who are trying to reach households in tribal areas, rural areas & other historically undercounted communities with a lot of distrust of the U.S. government...
@NPRWeekend @nprscottsimon 5. ...More door-knocking time for the #2020Census means there's a better chance of a more accurate count of people of color, immigrants, renters, young children under 5. That ultimately means a fairer distribution of power and money that's tied to the census over next 10 years.
@NPRWeekend @nprscottsimon 6. Q: Why does the Trump admin want a shorter #2020Census schedule?

A: It says it doesn't want to miss 12/31 legal deadline for reporting new state population counts to President Trump - but top career officials at Census have said bc of COVID-19, they can't meet that deadline.
@NPRWeekend @nprscottsimon 7. ...12/31 is important to President Trump's memo calling for unauthorized immigrants to be excluded from those state counts *despite* the 14th Amendment's requirement to include the "whole number of persons in each state." This would be an unprecedented change...
@NPRWeekend @nprscottsimon 8. ...to the census numbers that determine each state's share of the 435 seats in the House of Representatives -- and, in turn, the Electoral Colleges votes that are what determine who becomes the next U.S. president in 2024 and 2028 -- over the next 10 years...
@NPRWeekend @nprscottsimon 9. ...A key way to ensuring that Trump can attempt to make this unprecedented change to these numbers - even if he does not win re-election - is if the numbers are delivered to him by 12/31, which the Census Bureau now says is likely only possible if counting ends by 10/5...
@NPRWeekend @nprscottsimon 10. ...Since the 1st U.S. census in 1790, the numbers used to reapportion House seats have included both citizens & noncitizens, regardless of immigration status. Census experts tell me there's no legal way to exclude unauthorized immigrants from #2020Census apportionment count..
@NPRWeekend @nprscottsimon 11. ...The reason why is that the #2020Census forms do *not* include a question about a person's immigration status (it also does *not* include the now-blocked citizenship question). That means to come up with a count of unauthorized immigrants...
@NPRWeekend @nprscottsimon 12. ...the Census Bureau would have to rely on incomplete government record and estimates based on statistical sampling. The Supreme Court ruled in 1999 that sampling cannot be used in numbers used for reapportioning House seats among the states.
@NPRWeekend @nprscottsimon 13. Q: What could happen if the Trump administration decides to stop following the court order to keeping counting for the #2020Census?

A: The administration could be sanctioned or be held in contempt of court...
@NPRWeekend @nprscottsimon 14. ...I'm watching to see what happens after this 9th Circuit hearing of the Trump administration's appeal of the lower court order to keep counting...
@NPRWeekend @nprscottsimon 15. ...because this could escalate into a legal fight at the U.S. Supreme Court.

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More from @hansilowang

Hansi Lo Wang (he/him) Profile picture
Dec 19, 2023
A controversial Census Bureau proposal could shrink the rate of disability in the U.S. by about 40%. Public comments on this potential change are due Tuesday, Dec. 19, but NPR has confirmed there will be another opportunity to give feedback in the spring…
npr.org/2023/12/18/121…
2. Public comments on these proposed changes to the disability questions on the American Community Survey can be emailed to acso.pra@census.gov. The bureau tells NPR they are set to be published here before the next public comment period in the spring: regulations.gov/document/USBC-…
3. The bureau says the proposed changes are part of a years-long effort to improve the quality of its disability data and standardize the statistics so they're comparable to other countries' numbers
npr.org/2023/12/18/121…
Read 7 tweets
Hansi Lo Wang (he/him) Profile picture
Jan 23, 2023
The Supreme Court could upend how federal elections are run across the U.S. if it adopts even a limited version of a once-fringe idea called the "independent state legislature theory."

I wrote about what could happen after SCOTUS rules on Moore v. Harper:
npr.org/2023/01/22/114…
A Supreme Court ruling that adopts some version of the “independent state legislature theory” could lead to more lawsuits and bring uncertainty to upcoming elections
npr.org/2023/01/22/114…
A Supreme Court ruling that adopts some version of the “independent state legislature theory” could make it easier for state lawmakers to ignore voting rights protected under state law
npr.org/2023/01/22/114…
Read 4 tweets
Hansi Lo Wang (he/him) Profile picture
Oct 18, 2022
I wrote about a push for the U.S. Supreme Court to change who counts as Black in redistricting.

Republican officials in Louisiana want a narrower definition of Blackness that excludes some Black people & could minimize Black voting power around the U.S.
npr.org/2022/10/18/112…
2. A 2003 ruling by SCOTUS after the 2000 census — the first U.S. head count that allowed people to identify with more than one race — set a standard definition of "Black" for voting rights cases focused exclusively on the voting power of Black people.
npr.org/2022/10/18/112…
3. That definition of "Black" has included everyone who identifies as Black for the census — including people who mark the boxes for Black and any other racial/ethnic category such as white, Asian & Hispanic/Latino, which federal gov't says is an ethnicity
npr.org/2022/10/18/112…
Read 11 tweets
Hansi Lo Wang (he/him) Profile picture
Nov 6, 2021
SCOOP: Former President Donald Trump's payroll tax delay last year left a $7 million accounting mess for the Census Bureau, which has been trying to get ~28K former census workers to pay off their debt after giving up trying to collect from ~148K others
npr.org/2021/11/05/104…
2. I deleted this earlier tweet that misstated the number of former 2020 census workers from whom the Census Bureau has decided to stop trying to collect unpaid payroll taxes. That number is 147,619 former workers (not ~178K):
3. The Census Bureau was one of many fed agencies the Trump admin directed last year to stop collecting some employees' share of a payroll tax that helps fund Social Security. Trump said it would get "bigger paychecks for working families.” But it’s also an accounting challenge.
Read 5 tweets
Hansi Lo Wang (he/him) Profile picture
Nov 4, 2021
I asked the office of Sen. Rick Scott, R-Fla. — who blocked an attempt to confirm Census Bureau director nominee Robert Santos by unanimous consent in October — why Scott said he's concerned Santos will “politicize" the bureau & not serve "in a fair and unbiased fashion"...
2. So far, Scott's office has not provided any evidence that would suggest Santos would “politicize” the Census Bureau and “not perform his duties in a fair and unbiased fashion."

Instead, Scott's communications director, McKinley Lewis, gave this statement by email: The Census Bureau performs critically important functions to
3. I am waiting for any direct response to this follow-up question:

Does Sen. Rick Scott consider Robert Santos not qualified or competent to serve as Census Bureau director? If so, why?
Read 4 tweets
Hansi Lo Wang (he/him) Profile picture
Nov 2, 2021
NEW: The 2020 census likely undercounted people of color at rates higher than those of the last count, an @urbaninstitute study finds. That could translate into inequities in political representation & federal funding across the U.S. for the next 10 years
npr.org/2021/11/02/104…
@urbaninstitute 2. Important to note: This @urbaninstitute study is *not* an analysis of 2020 census results & doesn't show actual over/undercounts. The estimates are based on a *simulated* census & a method for measuring accuracy that's different from the Census Bureau's
urban.org/research/publi…
@urbaninstitute 3. Let's also keep in mind: When people of color are undercounted in the census, it's not just "some" groups who miss out on federal funding and political representation — it's *everyone* living in the local communities and states where there are people of color.
Read 5 tweets

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