always lots of debate about US COVID numbers. Here's how I like to look at data: three panels: daily NewCases, hospitalizedCurrently and daily NewDeaths. Decline in NewCases and hospitalized in summer has seemingly stalled. Reason interesting,
2/ first wave was in NY, NJ area which subsided after ~8 weeks; then 2nd wave in southern states (FL,AZ, TX shown here). It had very similar case pattern but much lower hospitalizations and deaths. So why hasn't overall data also diminished as 2nd wave dissipates?
3/ there's a third pulse in more "remote" states in northern plains and midwest: ND, SD, MT, UT; also WI. Since populations small, 3rd pulse led to much lesser national increase. Even lower hospitalizations and deaths thus far then 2nd pulse, much lower than 1st pulse.
4/ persistence of caseloads in US do not (mainly) arise because of persistence in states which have experienced pandemic, but because US is large and varied country and there are lags in disease penetrating to all areas.

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More from @ClimateAudit

6 Oct
Here's a scatter plot showing (my interpretation) of stated Dancheno "proximate" sources (numbered in interview) vs use in Steele dossier by date. There is pattern and structure that has gone almost entirely unnoticed.
2/ on the evening of June 15, Ivan Vorontsov (S2) and Sergei Abyshev (S1) went drinking with Igor Danchenko (PSS) in Moscow. Vorontsov went to huge St Petersburg economic conference the next day (which, ironically, Millian attended). Igor stayed in Moscow.
3/ S1 and S2 were both described by PSS as sources for Report 80, the first ("pee tape") report, which I believe to have been primarily fabricated into very embellished and fraudulent document in Steele's office based on context from Danchenko. Danchenko also told FBI that
Read 25 tweets
2 Oct
@shipwreckedcrew problem with your argument is there was real distinction betw sanctions and expulsions, which was important and relevant to Flynn. In his only contemporary interview (Feb 15, 2017), he readily admitted that he had discussed expulsions, but vehemently denied discussing sanctions.
@shipwreckedcrew 2/ this interview was in response to blockbuster WaPo article which, based on conversations with /893/ anonymous officials in a position to know, said that Flynn had specifically discussed sanctions.
@shipwreckedcrew 3/ Flynn was not guilty of lying about "US Sanctions" as defined in Statement of Offense. At the time, for various reasons, Flynn seems to have assumed that, despite his memory otherwise, the government must have had transcripts showing that he had discussed US Sanctions
Read 9 tweets
29 Sep
recent Barr letter on Danchenko contained unredaction of Horowitz Footnote 334, which commented on claim that "Steele himself was not the originating source of any of the factual information in his reporting". What does this actually mean? Is it true? Image
2/ as someone who's studied this very closely, it seems virtually certain to me that many details in the Steele dossier, including nearly all of the details of interest, did NOT originate with the PSS, but were embellishments or fabrications introduced in Steele's writeup.
3/ Was Horowitz archly trolling readers by his use of the term "factual information" (as opposed to more generic term of (say) details in the Steele dossier. I.e. anything that was true did not originate with Steele. But I really don't think that Horowitz was being that cute.
Read 10 tweets
29 Sep
in 2008, Danchenko, according to his now deleted CV archive.is/rK4M6, while at Georgetown and Brookings, also did an assignment for Jane's, now a subsidiary of IHS Markit, which annually publishes Jane's Fighting Ships en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jane%27s_…
2/ in the recent Barr letter, the FBI reported that, in their prior investigation, one of Danchenko's associates (presumably at Brookings) said that he "persistently asked about" their knowledge of a particular military vessel.
3/ in the spirit of an aluminum tube not necessarily being evidence of WMD - a possibility insufficiently scrutinized by Colin Powell, is it possible that Danchenko's inquiry about military vessel was to make money from Jane's, as opposed to spying for Russia?
Read 5 tweets
28 Sep
I'm re-examining what was unredacted in April. Here's a small but interesting point clarified when Danchenko network unrolled. FN 347 refers to Olga Galkina, Danchenko's longtime BFF from Perm, who had very active social media presence.
2/ Danchenko identified Galkina as Source 3 in his Jan 2017 interview. Unredaction of FN 347 says that "FBI received information in **early June 2017** which revealed that, among other things, there were.. personal and business ties between the sub-source" and Primary Sub-Source.
3/ but Danchenko interview in **January** 2017 already disclosed that Danchenko and Galkina had been friends since the 8th grade in Perm.
Read 5 tweets
28 Sep
Recommend that you treat it as an audio, not a video. My camera angle is offcenter and I move around too much. But if you listen to it like radio program, it's better.
we discuss the recent news that FBI and intel community concealed information about 2009-11 suspicions of Danchenko, even preparation of FISA application, in ICA, thereby enabling inclusion of Steele dossier info into ICA, thus fomenting resistance.
Read 10 tweets

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