So slowly we are talking about Infection Fatality Rate

According to CDC of US it is 0.65% for Americans

32 million Americans less than 10% population has been infected by Covid

Regional Antibody studies show that it varies from place to place also varies dramatically with age.
For example only 0.003% of people less than 19 years of age showed antibodies to Covid virus whereas 5.4% were positive for antibodies among 70+ age group.

Why was not answered convincingly. We do not know why susceptible are infected more.
If you are above 85 years & you get infected then there is 28+% chance that you will die of Covid.

75 - 84 years it is 18% death if Covid positive

65 - 74 it is 8%

50 - 64 it is 2%

39 - 49 it is 0.6%

29 - 38 it is 0.2%

Teenage to 28 it is 0.06%

Twinkle age it is 0.02%
I have been tweeting from the beginning that Covid is not as lethal as it is made out to be especially among youngsters.

However since the number of young people getting is very high you will see good number of deaths among them.
If you are a teen-ager and you get infected & you go home & infect your grandmother because you are careless; remember that it is 1800 to 2000 times more deadly to your grandma.
With these numbers, I say to our govt to act & intervene properly. We do not need sledge hammer interventions. We need small focused incremental changes to bring change.

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More from @Kaalateetham

3 Oct
550 that is the number of Doctors dead due to Covid contracting it while treating Covid patients & in India

67 doctors are dead in similar fashion in Karnataka.
Case Fatality Rate for Covid among doctors treating Covid patients & non Covid patients is 36.4.

This is more than 22 times the the CFR of non doctor population of India which is 1.6.

Post Covid Syndrome is also more seen among doctors.

Doctors running OPDs are worst affected.
Pvt Doctors are not covered under Govt insurance for Covid warriors which is gross injustice while doctors working in Govt hospitals have not got leave in last 7 months making them more vulnerable to Covid infection.
Read 4 tweets
27 Sep
#COVID19India

Are we entering a phase of "Pathological Science"?

Is there a big factor of wishful thinking in analysis of Chinese Virus?

Are we in N Ray mode?

Tough questions to answer but who will do it?

We have bureaucratic nincompoops running the show busy in corruption
The vaccine manufacturing guy wants Rs 80000 crores to provide vaccine to Indians.
Q
1) Is is vaccine safe?
2) Is it efficient?
3) How long does immunity last?
4) What is the cost of production per dose?
5) What is the price for end user?
6) Will CFR go below 1.5% on vaccination? Image
This is a trick of Pseudo Science practitioners.

Why would a manufacturer want the govt run @MoHFW_INDIA to buy vaccines without having answers to all above questions?

He has set it up nicely for politicians & bureaucrats to intervene?

Do you think state Govts will let it go?
Read 5 tweets
24 Sep
#COVID19

Everyone should work together to break the cycle of transmission.

Treat those who do not wear masks & show false bravado with contempt

I understand that work restart is necessary for livelihood of all try to maintain social distancing at work

Wash hands 5 times/day
If someone is positive in your close circle get yourself tested voluntarily & isolate yourself till results come.

If positive tell your immediate contacts to do the same. You will be taken care of so do not worry, authorities will contact you & do the needful.

Break the cycle
#Bangalore #COVID19 is turning out to be dangerous combination.

The first peak has not plateaued already there is secondary peak joining it. Situation will worsen if ppl don't contribute.

We need to work with authorities understand that we are part of team to overcome Covid.
Read 5 tweets
23 Sep
So it is clear now, there is more good news on #COVID19

There was a study done using blood samples collected in US between 2015 to 2018, yes long before Covid19 was known to world, when virus was introduced to these blood samples the "t cells" which are memory bank reacted to it
So this virus is not "Novel" as described by WHO right? Not really, as this is most probably an engineered virus

Across the world, studies being published where samples collected from people not exposed show t cell response to this not so novel virus.
NY
Madrid
Japan
Germany etc
It is possible that these studies which show 18% to 50% of people react to this virus by t cell activation because the Novel Corona virus is recognised by t cells in these natives, as it carries the antigens of old common cold causing Corona virus.

Why was this virus created?
Read 5 tweets
22 Sep
What is happening regarding Covid?

Well it is mostly good news. Slowly understanding is dawning on many issues hitherto not understood.

Fear of Covid is gone. Currently case fatality rate of less than 1.6 ; however in my understanding it should be much less

Why?
Read on
Early on contact tracing was inefficient & ineffective due to various factors biggest contribution was from sloppy work of authorities. This allowed Covid to spread horizontally across communities across cities across states.

Thankfully many in public did not manifest symptoms
Here in lies the fallacy of CFR, it estimates fatalities based on patients who were diagnosed positive while many primary & secondary contacts did not show symptoms, did not get checked & were not included in CFR

According to few this could be additional 100-150% of +ve cases
Read 7 tweets
22 Sep
Dear @vani_info STFU

I have spent years observing rural hinterlands, seeing the damage done by these FCRA NGOs. They need to shut shop asap! Dubious conversion mafia run most NGOs followed by those in Dilli who want to influence policy making.

#FCRABILL
vaniindia.org/admin-latest/i…
You say NGOs supporting scientific research will be penalized, I assure you none of that will happen. Those doing good work will always be supported so stop firing from their shoulders. Collaborations can be done outside of NGOs & according to law too. Believe me we do that
NGOs can function however, when monies come with intention to change demography or influence our policy which was mostly the case, it needs to be reigned & we are happy that Govt albeit very late has done that at least now. The spirit of cooperation will continue sans above areas
Read 8 tweets

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