It’s not difficult to catch the present British government in a lie. Here is one to add to the list. It concerns one of my pet subjects – fisheries. Anyone with an intolerance to fish politics should leave here. 1/8
Last week the UK government suggested that an “historic” fishing agreement with Norway was a model for the “annual” agreements that it wishes to impose on EU fleets post-Brexit. It wasn’t. The opposite is true. It was closer to the kind of deal that Brussels is seeking. 2/8
In the D.Tel on 30 Sept, ag/fish minister George Eustice boasted that the UK-Norway Fisheries deal meant "negotiating access to waters and fishing opportunities annually.” This is a cod - misleading to the point of being mendacious. 3/8
telegraph.co.uk/politics/2020/…
The UK-Norway agreement is based on EU-Norway agreements going back to 1979-81. The share-out of catches between Norwegian and EU boats is fixed. The actual tonnages are fixed annually after scientific advice. 4/8
This is the kind of deal – similar to the EU fisheries policy – which member states have instructed the Commission’s chief negotiator, Michel Barnier, to seek in “future relationship” talks with Britain. Annual talks would happen – but based on permanent shares. 5/8
The UK government, enthusiastically supported by the main British fishermen’s groups, have refused any such deal. They insist that the EU must ask Britain each year how much fish its boats can catch in UK waters after 1 January next year. 6/8.
Yes, the new UK-Norway deal does talk about “annual conversations” to agree access and quotas… But this would be like the yearly EU-Norway – and intra-EU - talks to fix actual tonnages after scientific advice or to agree fish “swaps”. 7/8
In other words, despite the grossly misleading claims by Eustice, abetted by equally crass comments by UK fishermen’s leaders, Britain has agreed just the kind of long-term deal with Norway which it is refusing for the EU. A cod indeed.
8/8

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More from @john_lichfield

6 Oct
Time for another French Covid update. Individual days are misleading so I have crunched stats for 7 days. The trend is mildly encouraging. All numbers are up – cases, deaths, intensive care – but the pace of increase is steady or only slightly above last week. No explosion. 1/9
These are, however, nationwide figures. The situation in some places, notably Paris, remains worrying – hence the government’s decision to trigger a “maximum alert” in the capital and shut bars, gyms but not all restaurants for at least 2 weeks. 2/9
The number of reported cases in 24 hours reached a new peak of 16,972 on Saturday but has, overall, been stable. The average of cases in the last 7 days was 12,242. The previous 7-day rate was 12,838. Before that - 10,521, then 8,630.
Topping off and flattening out? Maybe.
3/9
Read 9 tweets
23 Sep
Here is another French Covid update. There have been 6 days since my last thread. The trend remains steadily upwards in cases, deaths and net admissions to intensive care. But there is no sign - yet - of the steep climb in deaths and acute cases that France saw in March. 1/12
The number of new cases each day is accelerating and reached new peaks of over 13,000 on two successive days last Fri and Sat. The mortality rate – now averaging 43.4 a day – is also rising but certainly not exploding. More figures later. 2/12
The French government’s attitude is still to hold-the-line, wait-and-see but impose local restrictions. They are being either heroically calm or culpably slow. Compare the stringent new national rules imposed in the UK. This is definitely a reversal of roles since March. 3/12.
Read 12 tweets
16 Sep
Time for another French Covid numbers update. There have been 7 days of figures since my last thread. The trend remains worrying but not yet alarming. The numbers of cases, deaths and hospital patients are growing steadily but not – yet – exploding as they did in late March. 1/7
The government – or rather mostly Emmanuel Macron in person, according to Le Monde – thinks that drastic new action to control the strengthening pandemic is a/ not yet needed and b/ might be counter-productive. Government strategy is “wait and see” plus local crackdowns 2/7
There were 9,784 new cases in the 24hrs up to 2pm today, after three days when the stats fell into the 6 to 8,000 range. The rolling average for the last 7 days is 8,755, compared to 7,320 a week ago and 5,518 the week before that. Rising…not exploding 3/7
Read 8 tweets
12 Sep
Second Covid wave or not, the Gilets Jaunes (yellow vests) plan a mass return to French streets and roundabouts today. By 11am there had been 68 pre-demo arrests in Paris, mostly for carrying weapons or missiles. Marches are also planned in provincial cities. 1/7
Other promised/or threatened GJ “mass returns” this summer have fizzled out. This one, planned for weeks, is likely to be bigger – and more violent. Police anticipate at least 5,000 people in Paris, including 1,000 “black block” hard-left militia types.
2/7
To recap, Gilet Jaunes gave up their demos in March after 71 weekends - starting as a broad protest against high fuel taxes, the political elite etc and becoming something sectarian/anti-capitalist. Numbers dwindled to very few before Covid forced diehards off the streets. 3/7
Read 13 tweets
11 Sep
Rather flat announcement by PM Jean Castex with no tough new measures to control the rising covid numbers. Fair enough to allow local prefects to propose policies based on local conditions. But needed some sense of grip at national level which has been missing in recent days. 1/4
Also sensible to strengthen tracking capacity and to give priority slots for testing to those with symptoms or in contact clusters. But overall impression was of hesitation... Is it time to crack down again yet or not? 2/4
Castex said the situation was worrying in Bordeaux, Marseille and Guadeloupe and asked prefects there to make proposals by Monday. This is not a question of shoving responsibility onto local government. Prefects are national government reps, local gauleiters of central power. 3/4
Read 4 tweets
10 Sep
Time for another French Covid update. In the last week, the picture has darkened again. Cases are still growing steadily but acute cases, which fell from May until late August, are growing rapidly. I fear the “second wave” is here.
1/10
Seven days ago, there were 464 C19 patients in intensive care in France. Last night there were 599. Seven days ago, there were 3,464 hospital cases. Now it’s above 5,000 again – ie 5,003 – for the first time since mid-August.
2/10
These numbers are nowhere near the late March/early April peak but the trend is accelerating. France’s chief scientific adviser, Jean-François Delfraissy, says that the government faces “difficult decisions” in the next few days 3/10
Read 11 tweets

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