Second Covid wave or not, the Gilets Jaunes (yellow vests) plan a mass return to French streets and roundabouts today. By 11am there had been 68 pre-demo arrests in Paris, mostly for carrying weapons or missiles. Marches are also planned in provincial cities. 1/7
Other promised/or threatened GJ “mass returns” this summer have fizzled out. This one, planned for weeks, is likely to be bigger – and more violent. Police anticipate at least 5,000 people in Paris, including 1,000 “black block” hard-left militia types.
2/7
To recap, Gilet Jaunes gave up their demos in March after 71 weekends - starting as a broad protest against high fuel taxes, the political elite etc and becoming something sectarian/anti-capitalist. Numbers dwindled to very few before Covid forced diehards off the streets. 3/7
There are 2 authorised marches in Paris today but a violent fringe will try to defy a ban on protests on the Champs Elysées. By mid-morning, Paris was under police occupation. A few provincial GJ’s – a peaceful but vanishing breed – had occupied roundabouts near small towns. 4/7
France’ most popular stand-up comic, Jean-Marie Bigard – who has declared himself a GJ presidential candidate – will attend one of the peaceful marches in Paris. He originally said he would join a demo on the Champs but backed off when it became clear that violence was likely 5/7
What do the Gilets Jaunes want? Officially, it’s the same things – direct democracy; mass decisions made on line; fiscal and social "justice". Actually, the movement, once stretching from far right to far left, has become mostly hard leftist and anti-capitalist 6/7.
As ever, no 2 GJ’s agree on much. There are now anti-mask GJ’s and pro-mask GJ’s. Some who say that Covid is a capitalist hoax; others who think the government has been criminally negligent in handling the pandemic.
Sigh.
7/7
Update. Jean-Marie Bigard, foul mouthed comedian and self appointed presidential candidate for the Gilets Jaunes, was booed and insulted by gj's at one of their Paris marches. He was called a "collabo" because he distanced himself from a gj leader who called the police "Nazis".
Bigard had to leave the march and take refuge on a café. Shortest presidential campaign in French history?
Elsewhere a group of 200 or so Gilets Jaunes scuffled with police when they tried to break away from an authorized march at Wagram in the 17th arrdt and march on the Champs Elysée. Tear gas etc. They have been blocked. Numbers of gj's don't look enormous but they may grow.
That should be Elysées.
Mass revival of the Gilets Jaunes? Crowd in Lyons reported to be 200 people. Difficult to say in Paris. But seems like 2,000 or so, judging by TV footage. One group has left Paris proper to smash bank windows and ultra-liberal, capitalist bus-shelters in nearby Levallois.
To sum up... Peaceful but small Gilets Jaunes demos in Lyons and other provincial towns. Maybe 2,000 in all in Paris and scattered, unprovoked violence, partly from black bloc extreme leftists. Over 200 arrested and 106 kept in cells overnight.
As a mass return... A flop.

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More from @john_lichfield

10 Sep
Time for another French Covid update. In the last week, the picture has darkened again. Cases are still growing steadily but acute cases, which fell from May until late August, are growing rapidly. I fear the “second wave” is here.
1/10
Seven days ago, there were 464 C19 patients in intensive care in France. Last night there were 599. Seven days ago, there were 3,464 hospital cases. Now it’s above 5,000 again – ie 5,003 – for the first time since mid-August.
2/10
These numbers are nowhere near the late March/early April peak but the trend is accelerating. France’s chief scientific adviser, Jean-François Delfraissy, says that the government faces “difficult decisions” in the next few days 3/10
Read 11 tweets
3 Sep
Time for a French Covid numbers update.
In the 6 days since my last thread, the picture has darkened - not dramatically but darkened all the same. For the first time since mid-April, the number of C19 patients in French hospitals and intensive care units is now growing daily 1/7
There were 7,157 new Covid cases confirmed today, following 7,017 yesterday. In the previous 4 days there had been something of a lull, with figures between 3,082 and 5,453. 2/7
More worryingly, the pattern of hospital and ICU numbers, which had been falling steadily since April, seems to have reversed. There is no flood of patients like March and April but the number of acute cases is increasing steadily. So are deaths. 3/7
Read 7 tweets
29 Aug
Here is a new French Covid numbers crunch…
With 7,379 new cases confirmed in the 24hrs to 2pm yesterday, the official daily count of Covid-19 in France has almost doubled in just over a week. Santé Publique France now talks of an “exponential” 2nd spread of the virus. BUT…1/10
There is still no significant impact on the number of deaths or the population of C19 patients in hospitals and ICU units. New hospital and ICU entries are growing slowly – but there is nothing like the influx seen in late March/early April. 2/10
Is this just a matter of time? Or is the virus less nasty now? According to the government, low hospital/death stats are misleading. Many new cases are among young adults/the middle aged. Half are symptom-free. As C19 spreads to the vulnerable, acute cases could explode.

3/10
Read 10 tweets
21 Aug
Here is an extended French Covid update and number crunch...
The daily figures for new Covid cases in France yesterday were dreadful – 4,771, which is the highest in 24 hours since the height of the crisis on 1 April.
BUT…1/10
Unlike March-April, hospital and intensive care cases in France remain low. Despite the resurgence in the last month, acute cases have fallen. There were 436 people in ICU on 23 July but 380 yesterday. There were 5,957 hospital cases on 23 July and 4,748 yesterday. 2/10
Similarly, the number of deaths has remained mercifully low, despite the boom in Covid cases which started over a month ago. The average mortality since 23 July – ie 4 weeks ago – is 10.6 a day. Total now 30,480. 3/10
Read 10 tweets
10 Aug
Setting out today on my longest expedition in an electric car across France - from Normandy to Angers to Ile d'Oleron to Tarn et Garonne to Tours and back to Normandy in 6 days. About 1,500 k's, keeping off autoroutes. My Renault Zoe has 300k's battery range. Nerve-racking.
Wracking
Just waiting for the last 1% of battery and off we go ImageImage
Read 43 tweets
1 Aug
Is France suffering a second wave of Covid-19 infections? The figures are worrying but still not alarming. New confirmed cases have been running at just under 1,400 a day for the last 3 days. But there is no new spike in hospital admissions or intensive care patients – yet. 1/8
Taking the last 3 days, based on official figures, new cases are running at an average 1,371 a day. Taking the last 7 days it is 912. Until Mid-July, it was 500-600. Santé Publique France says that “young adults” are most affected. More than half the cases have no symptoms. 2/8
Nineteen départements (counties) have now passed the “vigilance” level of 10 cases per 100,000 inhabitants. In France as a whole, it has risen from 6.6 to 9.5 – just under the first level of alert. The level is rising in 70 départements (out of 102, including overseas ones). 3/8
Read 8 tweets

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