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Grant LaFleche Profile picture
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9 Oct, 9 tweets, 4 min read
G'evenin' Niagara. Sorry this is a bit late today (working on a lot of stories) but here is your mid (or late I guess) week local #COVID19 snapshot. (thread)

COVID-19 in Niagara-Curve public.flourish.studio/visualisation/…
Nine more cases in Niagara today, which is in keeping with the new, second wave baseline of daily cases. Seven day rolling average is 11. Well above the 1 to 3 cases we saw just a few weeks ago. The pandemic can move fast.

public.flourish.studio/visualisation/…
To that point, compare the last seven days to new cases per day in late April during the decline of the first wave. The current situation is basically the reverse. Cases are rising as fast as they fell at that point.
No real change in terms of who is getting sick. Cases are popping up in all demographics, but most of the case growth is in that under 40 age group.

Niagara COVID-19 case by age public.flourish.studio/visualisation/…
One of the metrics to watch right now is the % of positive cases, which is a signpost for how widespread the virus is locally. Ideally, experts want to see a number below 1%. In the last month, it has risen from .3% to 1.1%

public.flourish.studio/visualisation/…
.@NRPublicHealth set a 5% rate as a "danger-zone" threshold. The percentage (which is calculated weekly) gets that high, it would be an indication of a very high-level of virus activity in the community.

COVID-19 Niagara: Test positivity rate public.flourish.studio/visualisation/…
The other thing we are watching closely is schools. Here is the latest breakdown of #COVID19 in local schools:
Public health is also warning against large gatherings this long weekend, urging people to keep it small this year. I figure once the pandemic is over, there will be lots of opportunities to have epic parties. But not this weekend.

stcatharinesstandard.ca/news/niagara-r…
We'll have a lot more coverage leading into the weekend in @StCatStandard tomorrow. Until then...

Be safe, be smart and be kind.
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More from @GrantRants

Grant LaFleche Profile picture
8 Oct
As we have reported, the anti-mask groups have present a number of false claims about pandemic safety measures, including claims about masks being a violation of human rights. The hyperbole recently hit a new height with this:
(I blacked the name of the young woman because she might be a teenager.)

This post, which compared being denied service for not wearing a mask to anti-black discrimination and the Holocaust, generated a lot of support from the members of the Hugs over Masks group.
I can't believe this needs to be said, but there is nothing even remotely similar to a masking bylaw to prevent the spread of a potentially lethal virus to Jim Crow laws, and systemic, legalized racism in the US that arose after the abolition of slavery.
Read 6 tweets
Grant LaFleche Profile picture
7 Oct
This is a pretty weird bit of analysis by Kinsella that pretty well fails to put Trump and Bouchard into their actual contexts.

How COVID-19 may have saved Donald Trump’s campaign thespec.com/opinion/contri… via @thespec
It is true that after having survived the flesh-eating bacteria that claimed his leg, Bouchard's already high level of popularity in Quebec turned into a cult thing, and he was regarded nearly as a saviour figure by separatists. But, contextually, it doesn't compare to Trump.
For one thing, Bouchard was not leading the province or the country, he did not have a long track record of spectacular failures in his wake and was not regarded as an existential threat to democracy itself. Trump checks all these boxes for all kinds of reasons.
Read 7 tweets
Grant LaFleche Profile picture
12 Sep
Yesterday, we published a story fact checking the false claims of an anti-mask group. Since then, I have been bombarded with hate email, often demanding to do things to myself which, strictly speaking, are not anatomically possible. (Thread, and warning for offensive language)
Unsurprisingly, most of these messages accuse the paper of being part of an international plot to destroy freedom through the use of masks at the grocery store during a pandemic. They will also insist they are not conspiracy theories, but also insist the "pandemic" is not real.
These non-conspiracy theories insist that COVID-19 is fake, or the pandemic itself was created by the new world Illuminati types.
Read 5 tweets
Grant LaFleche Profile picture
9 Jun
Journalism thread:

It is not unusual these days to hear folk say that we don't need journalists or legacy news agencies because we have social media and the "new" way to get news.
Except once again we see what happens when the faceless internet mob tries to be investigators.
Case in point, this poor guy, who was harassed, doxed and threatened because folk on Twitter incorrectly thought he was a cyclist who attacked a teenaged girl.

nymag.com/intelligencer/…
When the video of the attack went viral there were several calls for Twitter to "do its thing" and expose the then-unknown identity of the guy in the sunglasses and helmet.
Which Twitter promptly thought it did, pointing the figure at the wrong person.
Read 12 tweets
Grant LaFleche Profile picture
23 May
Some #COVID19 facts: It was not created in a lab or part of a Big Pharma plot. It is not a hoax to embarrass Trump. (He is doing fine on that score all by himself.) It won't go away in the warm weather. The UN, WHO, China or the Illuminati aren't using it to take over the world.
Wearing masks do not take away your freedom, are not a sign of slavery, not a media plot to create fear, nor will they cause you to suffocate. Your freedoms do not extend to potentially making other people sick. Those on government emergency assistance are not lazy or stupid.
Businesses wanting to reopen are not greedy. Science is not a fool's errand. Data matters. Facts matter. Pie in the sky promises, snake oil cures, faith healing, con artists and deliberate misinformation are the enemy here, not people trying to understand what is happening.
Read 6 tweets
Grant LaFleche Profile picture
21 Apr
Good afternoon, Niagara. I am pouring into the daily #COVID19 for the region, and two things pop out today. First, there is only one new confirmed case. Second, for the first time, there is a noticeable decline in the number active cases: 204 today, down seven from yesterday.
These numbers fit a trend that has been growing for over a week: as the number of new cases in LTC homes are exhausted, we would see the actual level of community spread, which @mustafahirji has said would be in the single digits daily.
The decline in the number of active cases is also important. It is a result of a rise in resolved cases, the limited growth of new cases, and an additional death.
It is the first time since we started tracking the data that a decline in active cases has happened.
Read 8 tweets

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