Share this page!

Sahil Kapur Profile picture
Twitter logo
9 Oct, 4 tweets, 2 min read
NEW: Alarm bells of a blue wave are going off in Republican circles as Trump's deficit hits double digits.

One strategist: "The president has had possibly the worst two-week stretch that a candidate could have going into the final month of an election."

nbcnews.com/politics/2020-…
Trump camp dismisses the bad polls as 2016 redux.

But some donors and operatives wonder if the White House is lost and it's time to steer resources to saving congressional seats. Senate races like SC/KS are suddenly a concern. House minority may shrink.

nbcnews.com/politics/2020-…
“In 2016, the president was a buoy. In 2020, he’s more of an anchor. There’s no question there are going to be losses down the ballot,” says former NRCC operative @Ken_Spain.

nbcnews.com/politics/2020-…
Four years ago around this time, the Access Hollywood tape dropped and Clinton’s lead grew and peaked at ~7 points. Then came the Russian-hacked emails and the Comey letter that contributed to her collapse.

Today, Biden leads by ~10 points.

nbcnews.com/politics/2020-…

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
　

Keep Current with Sahil Kapur

Sahil Kapur Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @sahilkapur

Sahil Kapur Profile picture
12 Oct
Lindsey Graham and Dianne Feinstein chat before the Amy Coney Barrett Supreme Court hearings begin. Image
.@LindseyGrahamSC notes that Ruth Bader Ginsburg and Antonin Scalia were confirmed near unanimously and laments that those days are over.
Lindsey Graham: "This is an election year. We're confirming a judge in an election year after the voting has occurred." Reversing himself from previous years where he said he wouldn't do this. He says it may be unprecedented in some ways but it's not unconstitutional. Image
Read 33 tweets
Sahil Kapur Profile picture
5 Oct
NEW: Republicans may have a real shot at overturning Roe v. Wade. But political danger lurks.

nbcnews.com/politics/2020-…
.@pewresearch, which conducts wide-ranging studies into American attitudes on abortion, found 70-28% opposition to overturning Roe.

Among key groups of women — college grads, independents, suburbanites — it’s more lopsided.

nbcnews.com/politics/2020-…
TRUMP, 10/2016: Overturning Roe v. Wade will “happen automatically” if I “put another two or perhaps three justices on” SCOTUS.

TRUMP, 9/2020: Roe v. Wade is “not on the ballot” with the Barrett nomination. “You don't know her view on Roe v. Wade.”

nbcnews.com/politics/2020-…
Read 4 tweets
Sahil Kapur Profile picture
4 Oct
New NBC/WSJ poll of 2020 registered voters

Biden 53% (+2 since last month)
Trump 39% (-4)

**

Who did a better job in the debate?

Biden 49%
Trump 24%
-both equally 1%
-neither good 17%
-not sure 9%

nbcnews.com/politics/meet-…
In the NBC/WSJ poll, Trump's share versus Biden (39%) tracks closer to his favorable or "positive" rating of 39% than his job approval of 43%.

One way to read: there are people who think Trump's doing a fine job but dislike him personally and won't vote for him.
NBC/WSJ poll on positivity ratings

Trump: 39% 👍, 55% 👎, 5% neutral
Biden: 43% 👍, 41% 👎, 16% neutral

Sixteen percent of America being "neutral" on a presidential candidate at a time like this is (1) absolutely wild and (2) potentially an underrated strength for Biden.
Read 4 tweets
Sahil Kapur Profile picture
4 Oct
At a South Carolina debate with @harrisonjaime, Sen. @LindseyGrahamSC promises that Republicans will confirm Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court and vows to do it “safely.” Image
At his Senate debate, Lindsey Graham frames the election as one between “Donald Trump” and “liberal Democrats.”
~20 minutes into this debate and I’ve lost count of how many times Lindsey Graham has used the phrase “conservative judges.”
Read 9 tweets
Sahil Kapur Profile picture
30 Sep
First presidential debate is underway.

Moderator Chris Wallace of Fox News kicks off by saying none of the questions were shared with the commission or either of the candidates.
Trump defends his move to speedily appoint a Supreme Court justice at this stage: "We won the election. Elections have consequences. We have the Senate. We have the White House. We have a phenomenal nominee."
Read 35 tweets
Sahil Kapur Profile picture
29 Sep
"The American people should make no mistake," Chuck Schumer says, adding that any vote to put Amy Coney Barrett on the Supreme Court "is a vote to strike down the Affordable Care Act and eliminate protections for Americans with preexisting conditions."
.@SenSchumer says Republicans are moving to deny Ruth Bader Ginsburg's dying wish and "replace her with someone who could tear down everything she has built."
Schumer says Republicans are fabricating attacks on Catholicism that "not a single Democrat will make," calling it an "invented" and "imaginary" issue intended to avoid talking about their '16 double standard, the lawsuit to overturn the ACA, and curtailing Americans' rights.
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Like this author's thread?

Get email notifications when new thread is out from this Author!

Check out other threads from this Author!

Read all threads by @sahilkapur