Thread by @Neoavatara

Which is what I was saying...since February.

https://twitter.com/WSJ/status/1314558787534106624

"On March 4, California officially recorded its first day with 10 new Covid-19 infections. By Jan. 24, there was a greater than 50% chance 10 new people were being infected EVERY DAY. In fact, researchers now estimate California reached that mark more than one month earlier."

Just a few metrics...first day officially states had 10 cases...and ACTUAL date they probably did:

CA 3/1, 1/24
NY 3/2, 1/28
NJ 3/8, 2/3
FL 3/14, 2/10

"Retrospective testing in Ohio found that five women and a man who had developed Covid-like symptoms in early January had antibodies for the virus, qualifying as "probable" infections. They lived at opposite corners of the state, up to 200 miles apart."

"While the country was still looking outward, researchers now believe the earliest infections in many states came mostly from travel within the U.S."

"By 2/3, disease was taking root in NY...genetic analysis shows that by this date at least seven distinct strains had arrived..."

"U.S. testing had largely stopped earlier this month due to problems with test kits. Odds were good the virus had taken hold in as many as 15 states...In Colorado, the spread possibly began among skiers arriving for peak season."

"By 2/21, it was more likely than not that local transmission of the virus was underway in 24 states."

Why is this date important?

Three days later, NANCY PELOSI was going around Chinatown without a mask, saying everything was fine.

https://twitter.com/Neoavatara/status/1303750272381054977

2/21: "A swab collected from a door handle of a public building in Gainesville, Fla., for a routine flu study was later found to carry the virus. Genetic analysis showed the strain was very closely related to samples detected in the Puget Sound area of Washington this same week."

2/26: "Large gatherings, like the Biogen conference in Boston, played a role. A strain likely imported from France spread among attendees....show they carried it to NC, Tennessee and Texas. Sequencing shows the strain also became established in Massachusetts and Virginia."

"Feb. 29, 2020
As February came to an end, there was a better-than-even chance of local transmission of the virus in 37 states, models from Northeastern researchers show."

Here is my prior thread...it is pinned at my profile.

People STILL refuse to admit that this timeline made it almost impossible to react.

The Chinese, the WHO, and later the CDC all failed us.

https://twitter.com/Neoavatara/status/1304049372536147971?s=20