Proven by evidence: Evidence based science is like standing on a train track facing east saying: I won’t turn around until you prove to me there is a train coming from the west.
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Examples:
1) Not testing for COVID in places that didn’t previously have known cases of COVID.
2) Treating COVID like flu until hospitals are overwhelmed.
The Independent Scientific Advisory Group (ISAG) a voluntary and independent expert group from Northern Ireland, the Republic of Ireland and abroad, advocating a SARS-CoV-2 elimination strategy for the island of Ireland.
“The prospect of further illness, deaths and long-term consequences from COVID-19 in the coming months, and possibly years, is unacceptable..
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We therefore, urge the Irish and Northern Irish governments to adopt a COVID-19 strategy with the overarching objective of eliminating the virus from Ireland..
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US yesterday 50,341. MO, SD, and MT see new highs. Venezuela saw continuous decrease since September, 608 yesterday, lowest since late August. The daily death toll is also trending down, currently at 6.
Outbreak in Nepal accelerated, 3,439 yesterday, significantly higher than the previous record. The average daily toll also climbed to a new high of 13.
Italy yesterday 3,677, highest since 6 months ago. Almost all regions on the rise especially Campania, Lombardia and Veneto.
"The country’s cumulative death rate since the beginning of the pandemic rivals that of the US, with its shambolic response. And the virus took a shocking toll on the most vulnerable. It had free rein in nursing homes, where nearly 1000 people died in a matter of weeks."
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"Although stores and restaurants remained open, many Swedes stayed home, at rates similar to their European neighbors, surveys and mobile phone data suggest. And the government did .. [ban] gatherings of more than 50 people and on nursing home visits."
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US yesterday 44,717. WI, SD, and MT new highs. Canada daily average rose to 1,875, approaching that of the first peak back in April.
Europe saw surges in many countries. New cases are bending upward starting from beginning of July and accelerated in September, now averages 63k daily, overshadowing the 35k average during its first peak.
Increases are mainly seen in France, Spain, UK, Russia, but many countries that's relatively low during first peak are experiencing their all-time high in daily infections. Comparing to August, in September the vast majority of European countries are increasing.
Breaking: Coronavirus Update
US yesterday 41,405. For American countries compared to one month ago, more than half are decreasing; especially hard-hit countries. US saw an 18% reduction but also scattered upticks recently. Brazil decreased by a quarter, Colombia almost 1/3 lower
Argentina has yet to see the turning point. Yesterday they reported a new high of 14,392. In Sept. there was a 50% increase in daily cases comparing to Aug. Jamaica and Canada both experience recent surges from a relatively low baseline, hence the high growth percentage.
Italy today reports 2,548, highest since end of April. Cases in Campania surge; the current epicenter in Italy. Russia 8,945, continuing rapid increase. Germany 2,619, highest in almost half a year.