Thread by @chriscooperwcu

NC Absentee-by-mail (ABM) Oct. 10 update: ~465K (464,921) ABM ballots now accepted. #ncpol (1/8)

51% of accepted ballots thus far are from registered Dems, 18% from reg. Reps, 31% from reg. Unaffiliated. This is the opposite of 2016 when Republicans made up the plurality of folks who returned ABM ballots in NC. #ncpol (2/8)

This newfound Democratic Party domination of ABM balloting is a statewide phenomenon: more Ds than Rs have returned ballots in every county but 5 (Avery, Davie, Mitchell, Stokes, & Yadkin).#ncpol (3/8)

Dipping into #NC11 a little more (check out @BowTiePolitics' posts on @OldNorthStPol for much more statewide stuff), here are accepted ballots by day for the westernmost district in the state (4/8) #ncpol

Buncombe turnout continues to be impressive and processing appears to only be about two days behind at this point. #ncpol (5/8)

To get a sense of how the increase in ABM looks in #nc11 compared to 2016, here is the % increase from all of 2016 by county in the 11th (Rutherford excluded). Bottom line: it's up everywhere, but there is considerable variation nonetheless #ncpol (6/8)

Here's a slightly different look than what I've been posting in the past--this is % of requested ballots that have been accepted in #NC11 by county (Rutherford excluded). For comparison, ~79% of requested ballots were accepted statewide in 2016. #ncpol (7/8)

That's the end of the rainy day edition of the NC ABM update. Interesting and important stuff IMO, but if you want to predict who's going to win the election, you'd be better off picking up a Shel Silverstein book & practicing rhapsodomancy than relying on these data #ncpol (8/8)

addendum: come to think of it, you'd always be better off picking up a Shel Silverstein book than reading Twitter. Or picking up a Shel Silverstein album. Or a Bobby Bare album where he sings Shel Silverstein songs. Or a Johnny Cash album where he cuts a Shel Silverstein song.