Thread by @NumbersMuncher

ABC/Washington Post - National Poll (change from last):

Biden 54 (n/c)
Trump 42 (-2)
Jorgenson 2

Biden increases his already large lead from two weeks ago, leading independents by 12.

They are tied among men, but Biden leads women by 23(!) points.

Biden leads seniors 49-48.

ABC/Washington Post poll: Biden leads Trump nationally by 12 among likely voters, 54-42.

Trump leads non-college grads by 5 while Biden leads those with a college degree by 34(!) points.

The two most striking gaps in 2020 are with gender and education.

Look at these education splits on the ABC/Washington Post poll among white voters:

White w/ no college degree: Trump +26
White college graduate: Biden +31

That's a 57 net point gap with white voters between not having a college degree and having one. Just an amazing divide.

Another area with huge divides are on religion. From the ABC/Washington Post poll:

White evangelicals: Trump +59
White non-evanglical protestant: Biden +11
White Catholic: Biden +6
No religion: Biden +54

The gap between white evangelicals and no religion is massive.

The biggest reasons Trump is losing to Biden by so much is the erosion w/ white voters and seniors.

In 2016, he carried whites nationally by 20(!) points. In the ABC/Washington Post poll today he leads them by just 2.

Trump won seniors by 17 in 2016, today *Biden* leads by 1.

And if you want to know why Trump is working so hard to limit early and mail-in voting - from the ABC/Washington Post poll:

Trump leads those who plan to vote on election day by 32 points, 64-32.

Among those who plan to vote early or by mail, Biden leads by 44 points, 70-26.