Thread by @BingoDemagogue

Super poll? Super pollocks more like!
The 64% they got for the headline was stretching it a bit!

First thoughts on the findings;

Was there nobody under 22 questioned?! 100% of their respondents recorded how they voted in 2014.

Either their sample isn't representative, with no first time voters, or it's piss-poor survey question design.

On that point as well; If their sample *does* include first time voters, then at best their claim of swing in previous no voters is unsound.
And only 1% of sample said they wouldn't vote, but we know only about 80% max ever vote.
Seems unsound.

This shows that the question was framed around emotive topics such as Brexit and Covid; how this is done has a measurable swing on results (see Sir Humphrey)

But they should be careful which eggs they put in their basket. If the swing to independence is based on the idea of EU membership, how will this EU driven voters react when the #CopenhagenReport or similar makes clear we could not easily or quickly join?

They should be hanging their heads in shame at this result. To see laid bare how they have divided our country into two diametrically opposed, incompatible camps.

It does suggest rather than a simple leave/remain question they are using the evangelical 10 point scale; a social manipulation tool introduced by evangelical Stephen noon to the campaign

telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/sc…

As for that headline 64%? How about this for a headline "Fewer than half of Scots think there should be a second referendum, even if the elections return a majority of pro-indy MSPs

I'll look forward to seeing the full methodology, tables and weighting. First findings, seems not to have been designed with best practice, but with inherent bias in both the format and interpretation.

The main thing this poll tells us is that Mark Diffley and Angus Robertson seem to have carefully avoided best practices in order to introduce bias into the results.