If you wondered why @CMO_England told me the “baseline” measures in “very high” category of measures would not be sufficient to halt exponential growth of virus, attached is why - which is summary of paper from government advisers SAGE from 21 Sept, but just... 
published saying pub closure not nearly enough to halt infections and hospitalisations to save lives. Restaurants, cafes, hairdressers and gyms would need to be closed too. All university teaching should go online. And there may need to be short national circuit-breaking lockdown
Whole SAGE paper is here assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
And this is a chilling statement in the SAGE paper. “Given that admissions and deaths will increase for 2-3 weeks after R is bought below 1, cessation of the current growth is required by the start of October to prevent a repeat of the first months of the epidemic”. So the...
big question is whether @BorisJohnson imposed adequate restrictions today?
And here is SAGE’s case for a two-week lockdown “circuit breaker”
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
