I'm not sure I can face the emotional rollercoaster of live-tweeting Rutte's #persconferentie tonight - if you want that stuff in English, I'd recommend following the admirable @DutchNewsNL.
But if anyone cares, my preliminary hot take would probably be:
It's hard for non-experts to draw reliable conclusions from the last six months, but one seems to be: by postponing a lockdown you don't avoid having one- you just ensure it has to be even worse. That's what NL has done: avoided painful decisions, and hence made them more painful
The government now seems to be in the awful position where what they announce (bar closures, no team sports) will probably be enough to make everyone miserable and wreck the hospitality industry, but only put a dent in a new infections. A terrible situation, with no easy way out.
I'm reminded of the old joke my grandmother used to tell about driving in rural Ireland and stopping to ask directions to the big city. "Dublin?" the friendly local replies. "Well if I was trying to get to Dublin, I wouldn't start from here".
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As the Dutch government belatedly tightens coronavirus restrictions, you may be wondering how well hospitals are set up to handle corona patients. Well here’s a little story...
A relative of mine is in somewhat vulnerable health so has stayed away from busy places for months and been very careful. But this week they had an appointment at @GHZGouda in Gouda
(For the unfamiliar, this is one of South Holland’s major hospitals; a gleaming facility which looks more like a Google HQ. I’ve been treated there dozens of times myself and have said before that it’s excellent, which it usually is)
I stopped tweeting virus data a few weeks ago as it got a bit boring, and just seemed to start endless pointless arguments. But it’s perhaps time for an update on the Netherlands...
(This is all done with the caveat that I’m not an epidemiologist, just someone who’s followed things closely and thinks it might be helpful to summarise for those who haven’t, or who don’t speak much Dutch.)
Firstly, as in many other countries, it seems like we are definitely undergoing some kind of second wave. New infections are now running at about 500 per day - 3,600 in the last week - far off the peak of a few months ago, but also way above the level of a couple of months ago