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13 Oct, 4 tweets, 2 min read
I have inspired a pro-iceberg rant from @davidchang. My work for the year is complete
To be sure, my column did mention the possibility that the long iceberg decline was ending, with this 2018 @hels manifesto as the turning point newyorker.com/culture/kitche…
But I really wouldn't that to stand in the way of content like this Image
Where this all began bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…

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More from @foxjust

Justin Fox Profile picture
13 Oct
Re today's Supreme Court decision to let the Census Bureau stop counting: the only states where it hasn't yet enumerated 99.9% or more of housing units are Louisiana (98.3%), Mississippi (99.4%) and South Dakota (99.8%) 2020census.gov/en/response-ra…
Also big shout-out to Minnesota for having the highest self-response rate Image
A little background: the original deadline was July 31, and in April for obvious reasons the Census Bureau announced that it was extending it to Oct. 31 census.gov/newsroom/press…
Read 6 tweets
Justin Fox Profile picture
13 Oct
Wrote a column on what may turn out to be the biggest news of 2020, the possible eclipse of head lettuce (iceberg, mainly) by leaf lettuce. With appearances by @hels, Nora Ephron, @AliceWaters, John Waters, @amandamull and (uncredited) @JamesSurowiecki bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
Here's the money chart Image
But that's not all the leafy green data available from @USDA_ERS! Here, for example, is what's been happening with spinach Image
Read 11 tweets
Justin Fox Profile picture
28 Sep
At some point after the Covid-19 pandemic fades, mortality rates will drop below normal. But there's not much sign in the data that this is happening yet
bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
People keep thinking this low-mortality period has already arrived in the U.S. because of the way the CDC reports excess deaths, but the data for the past couple of months are incomplete and CDC efforts to correct for the incompleteness never quite do the trick Image
In fact, because of a change in methods on Sept. 9, the CDC warns that "estimates for the most recent weeks for the US overall are likely underestimated to a larger extent than in previous releases" cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr… Image
Read 8 tweets
Justin Fox Profile picture
25 Sep
I made a column with lots of charts (evergreen Tweet) bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
This year has already broken the record for the number of corporate bankruptcies of $1 billion or more, according to NYU's Edward Altman. But by some other bankruptcy measures it's not a record-breaker at all Image
The overall number of business bankruptcies is (as of the second quarter, at least) near a 40-year low Image
Read 8 tweets
Justin Fox Profile picture
17 Sep
This isn't going to be any solace for NYC parents who just got the news that schools will be reopening even later than promised, but being stuck at home this year seems to have saved kids' lives. A new column, and a mortality-statistics filled thread 1/n bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
Here are deaths by age group for the U.S. for Feb. 2-Aug. 1 and the more or less equivalent period in 2018 2/n Image
And since anybody familiar with CDC mortality reporting will reply, "But those July 2020 numbers aren't complete yet!" here's what the chart looks like if you stop counting on May 30. Kids 5-14 actually had a mortality decline during spring that mostly disappeared over the summer Image
Read 13 tweets
Justin Fox Profile picture
11 Sep
So weird to see NYC held out as an example of how to do things right re Covid-19 but ... here you go
The one caveat I'd add to this (excellent) thread is that I do think a higher percentage of New Yorkers than Madrileños have Covid-19 antibodies. In the Comunidad de Madrid (which seems similar to if not identical the metro area) it was ~11.5% in April/May thelancet.com/journals/lance…
In NYC it was 22.7% in April, and 16.1% in Westchester/Rockland and 13.2% on Long Island. So probably around 20% for the metro area. (cc @_MiguelHernan) sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
Read 4 tweets

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