The UK brexit negotiating team is back from Brussels after getting an early train. David Frost set to talk to Boris Johnson today about whether talks should continue or there’s no point and we should move to planning for no trade deal. Spirits don’t feel sky high amongst those ..
... closest to the talks. In Brussels the EU counties are arguing over whether to use the language of “intensify” or just “continue” talks in the end of summit declaration. What Britain is looking for is a sense that the EU really wants to get there - eg committing to talking ...
...every day for two weeks plus some sign of negotiating substance. Will the EU / Germany on France’s hardline position on fish? PM “hasn’t decided” whether to continue talks process yet, they insist. PM decision tomorrow (tho these things have a habit of coming the night before)
UK believes the landing zone on state aid pretty clear. EU bit more pessimistic.

Worth reading @RaoulRuparel for the clash of coronavirus and no trade deal brexit impact

Feels like a big 24 hours
It feels like the further you are from the talks (hello some in cabinet!) the more optimistic you are, the closer you are the bigger the gap looks.
Though as I wrote last night about why the detail of the negotiating process is just one thing the PM has to take into consideration as he makes his decision later today / tomorrow

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More from @SamCoatesSky

16 Oct
BREAKING: Boris Johnson says the UK must prepared for no trade deal with the EU from Jan 1

Says EU not willing to give UK a Canada style deal

If the EU comes back "with a fundamental change of opinion" then the UK will listen. But says that doesn't sound likely after the summit
“Now is the time for our businesses to get ready. And we’re willing to discuss the practicalities”.
"Given they have refused to negotiate" properly for the last few months and want control over our laws in a way that would be unacceptable to a sovereign state, it is time to prepare for a deal which is trading more like Australia.
Read 5 tweets
13 Oct
Keir Starmer today makes Labour the party of lockdown. Says the covid figures are stark and the government does not have a credible plan.

Says we need "circuit breaker" - a short period of national restrictions.
Starmer "There's no longer time to give this PM the benefit of the doubt. Another course is needed. That's why I'm calling for a 2-3 circuit break in England."

Says it would NOT mean schools closing but should run across halfterm
Says a circuit break would require "extensive support" for jobs and businesses.

Starmer says "it was not inevitable but it is necessary."
Read 4 tweets
13 Oct
Tory revolt:

Government wanted smallest number of votes tonight - everything bundled as one

BUT some have been separated out by the Speaker

AND it looks as some Tories are to vote against motion 9, the retrospective vote on curfew / fines / public spaces
Speaker Eleanor Laing opening debate: “Motions 3-9 to be debated together but I can assure the house the q will be put separately at the end of the debate”
Motion 9 below

Refers to this SI

legislation.gov.uk/uksi/2020/1029…
Read 5 tweets
29 Sep
So a big announcement today about skills shortages - and it’s not the one about to be given by the PM

A red warning light from the official body which looks at skills shortages about the lack of people available for the social care sector gov.uk/government/new…
This is what the Migration Advisory Committee says about care workers and nursing assistants - vital during a pandemic

They warn of “stark consequences of low wages in social care”

All this before the end of free movement at the end of the year
Even though we are about to experience a huge national spike in unemployment, the MAC warns that the social care sector will “struggle to recruit” if wages are not increased “as a matter of urgency”
Read 9 tweets
27 Sep
Look at this from Friday’s Public Health England Covid report

See how in just the last 2 weeks, the number of cases in schools and other educational settings have risen very sharply

(But notice uptick in workplace infections too...)
This graph shows that primary and secondary schools make up bulk of confirmed Covid clusters or outbreaks.

Universities still in process of returning

(This graph also being highlighted by @rowlsmanthorpe)
Here is the complete Public Health England watchlist

Is your local authority on it?
Read 5 tweets
22 Sep
5 things to watch for in Boris Johnson’s coronavirus statement - my analysis ahead of the Commons debate

Here 👇 news.sky.com/story/coronavi…
Things to watch for 1/

What is the evidence that back to work is causing higher transmission? Sources claiming it exists Image
Things to watch for 2/

What’s the fate of the “circuit break” pushed by Sage and Spi-m scientists last week Image
Read 6 tweets

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