The survey that you extensively quote @dhume, is at odds with your own piece. You say in the piece that the major states with IA's (NY, NJ, Texas, CA) have already been decided (which i agree with) and the real battle is for IA votes in some swing states. (1/n)
The survey that you quoted @dhume, still talks to> 400 people in those states. The total sample size is only 936. Given that in those 4 states, majority of IA's vote for democrats, isn't this heavily tilted towards dems and not focusing as much on IA's in the swing states? (2/n)
Establishment surveys forget one big thing, surveying IA's in CA, NY, NJ, TX doesn't give an accurate picture of what is happening in swing states. 60% of the IA's might still vote for Dems, but if 70% of them come from those 4 states how is it representative? @dhume (3/n)
Lets look at the ratings that the survey quotes, i have my doubts about the numbers. But lets assume this data to be accurate. The largest number of respondents in the survey @dhume quotes seem to in the 'dont know' category about how Trump is handling relations with India. (4/n)
The problem with this survey, is the overwhelming assertions it makes about the data based on flawed assumptions. Although finally the numbers may be 65-35 towards biden. If IA's swing the votes in MI, FL - we might see some interesting results given the margins last time (5/n)
FWIW, i still think Biden has a lead over Trump. But my issue with this piece by @dhume is it basis its analysis primarily on this survey which seems to be not representative. I would expect Sadanand to raise those questions about it as well, and not take it at face value (6/6)

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More from @ask0704

15 Oct
[Thread] Whenever there is any discussion about #AIIMS i always see Congressis talking about crediting Nehru and almost never mention Rajkumari Amrit Kaur who was the Health Min of India from 1947-57. She was the real force behind AIIMS and also introduced the AIIMS Act in '56.
Rajkumari Amrit Kaur as Health Min. led the fight against Malaria, was even behind the BCG vaccination and donated her residence at Shimla, Manorville, to AIIMS as a space meant for the relaxation and recreation of the doctors and nurses of the institute.…
“It is important to note that though a devout Christian, she was very much against missionary activities,” says Siddhant Das, great grand nephew of Amrit Kaur “She was a zealous patriot who believed that missionaries were alienating Indians from their cultural roots,” he explains
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