Thread by @dikgaj

At the moment, politics and governance has been reduced to the fine art of gaming the exact point when individual fear of death just about getting overwhelmed by collective anger at the blanket constraints. I sense the fear is beginning to get thin.

following up on private debates with friends, colleagues, I see no reason to deviate frm my summer position that 1) this is not a flu, neither shd it be deemed a bubonic plague - so no need to go extremes like headless chickens 2) vaccines will take time and not 3 month miracles

3) 2nd wave in autumn was likely (my mid-summer projection) 4) economic needs will trump most of health-expert demands 5) best is to follow a cooler head middle-of-the-road policy on all fronts - lets be careful but not set-fire-to-forest to kill scattered bug-stricken trees.

4) in practice most of measures like masks/sanitization will only delay the spread but wont stop it or eradicate it. Much of the touted products available to the public will be of dubious quality so they wont do what they are claimed to do.

5) at some stage we will have to balance out the hard straightjackets we have allowed modern economies to bind us into, and our fear of death and sickness. Medicine has long practised its de facto power to decide who shd live or die through "quality of life" assessments.

6) at a concrete level, its the backtracing to identify super-spreaders in immediate past events thats crucial - not just tracing and isolating everyone laterally and down the event subtree from current time. It wd lessen the restrictive consequences. Not being done mostly.

Governance through using fear of death will work only to a point, and is a tool that like antibiotics so paranoidly now banned for the common sheep - does tend to lose its effectiveness on overuse.

economies that sustain the majority - not just corporate tax from online giants - wont take a longer hit. Things will have to be allowed to resume soon. Otherwise ruling networks wont see what hit them.