Interesting article by @Peston - but here’s why I don’t think ‘State aid’ will end the UK-EU trade talks.

• A thread •
There are multiple reasons why it’s a win-win for both parties to find agreement on State aid which include:

> State aid rules align with the UK (and in particular Tory) mindset that subsidies should be a last resort;

> Frost has agreed sensible general principles on subsidies;
> the EU State aid rules don’t really constrain the UK, after all Germany spends 4 times as much under the same rules...

> Tech start ups can be funded under the EU rules. That the UK hasn’t is about budget not rules.
> both sides have legitimate reasons to want safeguards around subsidies.

> for example the Canada -EU agreement has a whole chapter on subsidy control.

> the UK said better rules on industrial subsidies is a #WTO priority.

gov.uk/government/new…
The UK wants to be a champion of rules based trade around the World.

To achieve this @BorisJohnson should lead by example and unveil ‘World Class’ subsidy control rules.

Here’s an article @Jon_Branton and I wrote on this subject.

uksala.org/the-future-of-…
As always, happy to discuss with the PM or any Ministers if that helps.

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More from @AlexanderPHRose

20 Oct
What happens in the absence of State aid rules?

A couple of US examples provide some insight.

Firstly subsidy races. Each year the US public sector spends c.$100 bn persuading businesses to relocate within the US. No real benefit for US economy.

theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…

•1•
Subsidy auctions are competitions organised by big companies to play off funding bodies and generate the biggest taxpayer funded subsidy.

State aid rules act as a backstop for the public sector to collectively refuse to go beyond set values. Bids win on merit, not money.

•2•
In 2017 Amazon launched a subsidy auction in the US for a ‘second’ headquarters.

With weak subsidy control rules over 238 cities bid against each other.

Taxpayer subsidies spiralled upwards. State aid rules would have safeguarded the taxpayer.

•3•

marketwatch.com/story/what-ama…
Read 9 tweets
19 Oct
@Peston @BorisJohnson State aid will be solved in the EU-UK trade talks.

There are multiple reasons for this, which include:

> State aid rules align with the UK (and in particular Tory) mindset that subsidies should be a last resort;

> Frost has agreed sensible general principles on subsidies;
@Peston @BorisJohnson > having the EU bound to certain standards / principles is in the UK’s interest as it ensures their system doesn’t become more permissive;

> which is in our interest as the UK doesn’t award as much State aid and confident that our businesses can win work on merit alone.
@Peston @BorisJohnson > the rules don’t really constrain the UK, after all Germany spends 4 times as much under the same rules...

> Tech start ups can be funded under the EU rules. That the UK hasn’t is about budget not rules.
Read 5 tweets
29 Sep
The UK Government has laid a Statutory Instrument to revoke EU State aid rules.

It’s controversial because at this time the UK won’t have a workable replacement regime in place on 1 January 2020.

legislation.gov.uk/ukdsi/2020/978…

• a thread • Image
On 9th September the Government announced that in a “no deal” scenario the UK will follow World Trade Organisation subsidy rules.

gov.uk/government/new…
But the WTO rules were never designed to regulate domestic subsidies.

For that reason they don’t set out the basic rules most people expect to see in place for subsidies.

eg. transparency & limiting subsidies so they apply to genuinely incurred costs.

tinyurl.com/yxn7e3z7 Image
Read 8 tweets
15 Sep
“Brexiters for State Aid” is a good headline.

Of course many Brexiteers see the benefit of subsidy control and coordination. However fewer see the need for EU oversight in this area.

That’s why a meaningful UK State aid regime might be the way forward... econlib.org/brexiters-for-…
If the UK created a 🇬🇧 Subsidy Control regime without any consideration of an 🇪🇺trade deal, what would it look like?

The chances are that many fundamental characteristics would be present, eg transparency of awards, only paying against incurred expenditure and incentive effect.
There would be room for some quick wins, eg the undertaking in difficulty test could be redrafted so it’s clearer and simpler.

Would it go completely? Probably not, it’s useful to have a rule to avoid public funds going via zombie companies to creditors.

tinyurl.com/yxppdn8a
Read 9 tweets
15 Sep
A new public body tasked with increasing the prosperity of the North is to be welcomed.

Having worked on hundreds of Northern regeneration projects during the last twelve years, I’m looking forward to @RobertJenrick‘s Devolution White Paper.
I’m hoping there will be information about the new UK Shared Prosperity Fund.

I’m interested to see how the process can be made quicker and easier, whilst also taking forward the Local Industrial Strategies and fostering innovation.
Naturally I’d also like to see Westminster functions moved to the North.

For example, can the new OIM created by the UK Internal Market be located in the North?
Read 8 tweets
9 Sep
When considering the UK’s announcement on State aid today, it is worth noting that the UK’s view is that the WTO rules on industrial subsidies need reforming. gov.uk/government/new…
As @trussliz told the WTO in March 2020.

gov.uk/government/spe…
When she announced the UK Government will make the case to update the WTO rule book in respect of industrial subsidies. Image
Read 6 tweets

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