What happens in the absence of State aid rules?

A couple of US examples provide some insight.

Firstly subsidy races. Each year the US public sector spends c.$100 bn persuading businesses to relocate within the US. No real benefit for US economy.

theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…

•1•
Subsidy auctions are competitions organised by big companies to play off funding bodies and generate the biggest taxpayer funded subsidy.

State aid rules act as a backstop for the public sector to collectively refuse to go beyond set values. Bids win on merit, not money.

•2•
In 2017 Amazon launched a subsidy auction in the US for a ‘second’ headquarters.

With weak subsidy control rules over 238 cities bid against each other.

Taxpayer subsidies spiralled upwards. State aid rules would have safeguarded the taxpayer.

•3•

marketwatch.com/story/what-ama…
State aid rules also work as a sense check on the largest subsidies.

The regulator review process ensures that funding offered isn’t excessive or wasteful. It also checks appropriate legal conditions are in place to ensure public funding achieves the outcomes promised.

•4•
Which brings us to #DonaldTrump and the $3bn subsidy to #Foxconn, for their Wisconsin plant, which surely would have benefited from a regulator providing a sense check?

•5•
State aid rules work to control and coordinate subsidies.

In the Foxconn example the rules would have surely linked subsidies to actual investment.

Instead, the State has provided the subsidy and the plans have been changed, for the worse.

•6•
The manufacturing plant is now a storage facility.

It’s reported to be 1/20th of the size and employ around 1/6th of the staff originally envisaged.

The lack of a subsidy framework meant taxpayer money was wasted.

theregister.com/2020/10/20/wic…

•7•
If you think that couldn’t happen here in the UK, think again.

The Government’s current “no deal” plan for subsidies is weaker than the US.

WTO subsidy rules were never designed to be a domestic subsidy regime. They won’t work as a replacement.

gov.uk/government/new…

•8•
Which is why almost everyone with experience of working with subsidies recognises rules are needed.

These could be UK State aid rules, which ensure subsidies still get to our economic priorities.

But whatever you think, I’m sure you agree that time is running out.

•End•

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More from @AlexanderPHRose

19 Oct
Interesting article by @Peston - but here’s why I don’t think ‘State aid’ will end the UK-EU trade talks.

• A thread •
There are multiple reasons why it’s a win-win for both parties to find agreement on State aid which include:

> State aid rules align with the UK (and in particular Tory) mindset that subsidies should be a last resort;

> Frost has agreed sensible general principles on subsidies;
> the EU State aid rules don’t really constrain the UK, after all Germany spends 4 times as much under the same rules...

> Tech start ups can be funded under the EU rules. That the UK hasn’t is about budget not rules.
Read 6 tweets
19 Oct
@Peston @BorisJohnson State aid will be solved in the EU-UK trade talks.

There are multiple reasons for this, which include:

> State aid rules align with the UK (and in particular Tory) mindset that subsidies should be a last resort;

> Frost has agreed sensible general principles on subsidies;
@Peston @BorisJohnson > having the EU bound to certain standards / principles is in the UK’s interest as it ensures their system doesn’t become more permissive;

> which is in our interest as the UK doesn’t award as much State aid and confident that our businesses can win work on merit alone.
@Peston @BorisJohnson > the rules don’t really constrain the UK, after all Germany spends 4 times as much under the same rules...

> Tech start ups can be funded under the EU rules. That the UK hasn’t is about budget not rules.
Read 5 tweets
29 Sep
The UK Government has laid a Statutory Instrument to revoke EU State aid rules.

It’s controversial because at this time the UK won’t have a workable replacement regime in place on 1 January 2020.

legislation.gov.uk/ukdsi/2020/978…

• a thread • Image
On 9th September the Government announced that in a “no deal” scenario the UK will follow World Trade Organisation subsidy rules.

gov.uk/government/new…
But the WTO rules were never designed to regulate domestic subsidies.

For that reason they don’t set out the basic rules most people expect to see in place for subsidies.

eg. transparency & limiting subsidies so they apply to genuinely incurred costs.

tinyurl.com/yxn7e3z7 Image
Read 8 tweets
15 Sep
“Brexiters for State Aid” is a good headline.

Of course many Brexiteers see the benefit of subsidy control and coordination. However fewer see the need for EU oversight in this area.

That’s why a meaningful UK State aid regime might be the way forward... econlib.org/brexiters-for-…
If the UK created a 🇬🇧 Subsidy Control regime without any consideration of an 🇪🇺trade deal, what would it look like?

The chances are that many fundamental characteristics would be present, eg transparency of awards, only paying against incurred expenditure and incentive effect.
There would be room for some quick wins, eg the undertaking in difficulty test could be redrafted so it’s clearer and simpler.

Would it go completely? Probably not, it’s useful to have a rule to avoid public funds going via zombie companies to creditors.

tinyurl.com/yxppdn8a
Read 9 tweets
15 Sep
A new public body tasked with increasing the prosperity of the North is to be welcomed.

Having worked on hundreds of Northern regeneration projects during the last twelve years, I’m looking forward to @RobertJenrick‘s Devolution White Paper.
I’m hoping there will be information about the new UK Shared Prosperity Fund.

I’m interested to see how the process can be made quicker and easier, whilst also taking forward the Local Industrial Strategies and fostering innovation.
Naturally I’d also like to see Westminster functions moved to the North.

For example, can the new OIM created by the UK Internal Market be located in the North?
Read 8 tweets
9 Sep
When considering the UK’s announcement on State aid today, it is worth noting that the UK’s view is that the WTO rules on industrial subsidies need reforming. gov.uk/government/new…
As @trussliz told the WTO in March 2020.

gov.uk/government/spe…
When she announced the UK Government will make the case to update the WTO rule book in respect of industrial subsidies. Image
Read 6 tweets

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